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StormyClearweather

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Everything posted by StormyClearweather

  1. StormyClearweather
    Let's try to enjoy whatever we can get. I sure am. It's beautiful even if it doesn't stick.
  2. StormyClearweather
  3. StormyClearweather
    This is just flat out brutal.
  4. StormyClearweather
    Yeah, the dewpoints keep dropping even with precip falling. Maybe that happens, but it would stand to reason that temps would soon follow within the next frame or two.
  5. StormyClearweather
    EPS looks great. Higher totals pretty much across the board. I don't have a map that I can share, but hopefully someone else does.
  6. StormyClearweather
    Yeah this is a downright weird run, and it's also an outlier. I love it for MBY, but chances of verification verbatim are downright nil.
  7. StormyClearweather
    I remember it doing fairly well, but I wouldn't put money on it. Either way, it looks pretty similar to the 6Z GFS to me -- maybe a little further west, but definitely within the margin of error.
  8. StormyClearweather
  9. StormyClearweather
    It is a bit faster than the other guidance, which is probably a good sign in some ways and a bad sign in others.
  10. StormyClearweather
    Makes landfall just north of the SC border at HR 66. The GFS definitely isn't seeing the weakening from the upwelling, which will happen with that track, so who knows what that does to the eventual track/landfall location of the storm.
  11. StormyClearweather
    Odd. It's showing a different image here than the actual page. http://wx.graphics/models/eps_florence.png
  12. StormyClearweather
    Yeah, though the mean is pretty dang close to the Op with a similar shift north from 0Z.
  13. StormyClearweather
    EPS, FWIW:
  14. StormyClearweather
    ECMWF looked a tiny bit south earlier on, but definitely ticked north once it got closer to landfall at least -- looks set to landfall near Wilmington
  15. StormyClearweather
    I've got a space heater and a 100-watt light bulb you can borrow.
  16. StormyClearweather
    I really need to stop constantly refreshing the HRRR. There's no way this ends well.
  17. StormyClearweather
    And the RGEM! Don't forget the RGEM!
  18. StormyClearweather
    *ahem* So, the NAM is running.
  19. StormyClearweather
    That is all.
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