Jump to content

StormyClearweather

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    617

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by StormyClearweather

  1. StormyClearweather
    I don't hate this look. 3K NAM has it pushing through a couple of hours later.
  2. StormyClearweather
    I mean, someone had to post it. The weeniest of weenie maps.
  3. StormyClearweather
    And Kuchera ratios are 14 to 15:1. More like 16:1 in PSU land. Watch out!
  4. StormyClearweather
    Well this would be a nice little treat, I suppose. Better than cloudy wind.
  5. StormyClearweather
  6. StormyClearweather
    Fair point, lake effect can obviously be tricky to forecast. But I think they're at 50" so far this Winter, so do they care? Maybe the answer is yes, but seems like it'd be similar to us being forecast to getting .5 of rain and only getting some clouds and drizzle.
  7. StormyClearweather
    Good guess. Try Stormy Clearweather from Reba. I grew up on that show, don't judge me.
  8. StormyClearweather
    I think it takes a lot less for Buffalo to get a good snow than it does for us, so in that way, sure. But I think anything that's well outside the norm (such as a major snowfall is for us) has a lot more room for error, because so many things have to come together for it to happen, usually. All Buffalo needs is a cold front with a westerly wind over a non-iced lake, etc. etc.
  9. StormyClearweather
    We used to have a rule in the Southeast forum when I lived down there: Take the model with the least amount of snow, and then divide the accumulation it shows by the number of days until the event, and set your expectations accordingly. Looks like even using that method on Friday/Saturday would've still overestimated accumulations for most of us this time. But it's a rule I'm sticking to moving forward. Okay, I'm lying. Way too much of a weenie for that.
  10. StormyClearweather
    Almost unbelievable. I just saved this down for future reference, and I still can't get over it.
  11. StormyClearweather
    Don't shoot me, but the... NAM... looks a bit... better...
  12. StormyClearweather
    I was thinking about this earlier. It hasn't done great this Winter. Maybe it's a La Niña thing? Just don't remember it whiffing this badly, even 5-6 days out.
  13. StormyClearweather
    Here you go! What fun!
  14. StormyClearweather
    And here's the first 24 hours for subtraction purposes (which doesn't have much of an impact)
  15. StormyClearweather
    It's flopping around like a fish out of water, but this was a good flop (relatively) so
  16. StormyClearweather
    Think that was just through 81. I know @Weather Will is on it and going to get us the pretty WB @ 84 though.
  17. StormyClearweather
    Lol, a NAMing. I wish I didn't want it so bad, because you know this is going to end in heartbreak.
  18. StormyClearweather
    Amen. And also. NHC does a great job, but there's a cone for a reason. Clearly we need to think about something similar for winter storms.
  19. StormyClearweather
    Just taking the models some time to figure out the NAM always leads the way!
  20. StormyClearweather
    For those who may not be aware, there's a handy ability to ignore users on this forum. Just click your profile name at the top-right > Ignored Users and add anyone who you don't want to hear from anymore. Unfortunately you'll still see it when other people reply to their posts, but it's still a handy feature.
  21. StormyClearweather
    GEFS has been reasonably consistent. 6Z was a nice bump that got taken away, unsurprisingly.
  22. StormyClearweather
    Sorry EPS, but yes.
  23. StormyClearweather
    ICON EPS is a touch better with both low location and QPF FWIW. Mobile and can’t post maps.
  24. StormyClearweather
    Had the same thought. I feel like it's either "both" of us, neither of us, or just them (not for this storm, just in general). The excellent @SnowGoose69alluded to this in the NYC thread.
  25. StormyClearweather
×
×
  • Create New...