wxduncan

Don't think Morganton going to do that well at all. Thought about going down to South Mountain but idk.

Yeah it's just sad at this point. If we don't get anything by March 7th then it's over. Time is going fast and with Feb being a leap month this year even faster. So I say we have 22 days give or take a few to make something happen.

How much more of an adjustment would you want to see for the Foothills to cash in? Only thing that worry's me is the temps.

A good run increased the amounts for the foothills a good bit. And even put some totals down further east towards the Piedmont.

Yeah I went from 4.1(Euro) and 3.6(GFS) for Morganton(Burke County) to blank on that NAM run. But the thermals especially the 850s were great for my area.

So how accurate is the NAM at this range? Because compared to the Euro and GFS this is way west.

Yeah I just hope we can squeeze out just enough to meet warning criteria. My rule of thumb is if I get 4 inches that winter was good and I'm good with no more snow for that winter. Here's to hope that us here in the foothills can cash in. We are so close to something more as usual lol.

I'm in Burke county right near Morganton. What's everyone's thoughts for my area right now? I mean it seems like both of the models have me getting almost warning criteria. But it feels like I'm right on the edge of something more or less. Thoughts?

I'm in the foothills near Morganton NC (Burke County). That puts me in the 5 to 6 range. But that's a little too close for comfort we shall see.

Yeah I live here in Valdese(Burke) and my point and click says 1-2 inches for tonight. Odd Catawba is under a WWA but I'm not and there expecting totals of the same amount for both counties? Also @strongwxncyour forecast is the same also as ours. Wonder if they will upgrade our counties a little later today? Since it don't really start to after 5:00pm?

You still all sleet? Got a nice 6.5 inches of snow and at least 1 inch of sleet so far. And its still coming down.

Have changed over to sleet now in Valdese. Went out and did 7 different measurements we got just over 6 inches here in Valdese(Burke County). So I'm happy now we see how much sleet and zr we get. Fun times for sure.

Have changed over to sleet now in Valdese. Went out and did 7 different measurements we got just over 6 inches here in Valdese(Burke County). So I'm happy now we see how much sleet and zr we get. Fun times for sure.

Just measured the same down here in Valdese not from you. How much more you think we can get?

Yes they did and it caused GSP to really bust on the snow forecast. I will get at least 6 inches here in Valdese maybe more. Just over 5 inches now and its coming down hard. Radar looks good also.

Mesoscale Discussion 0075 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0742 AM CST Sun Jan 16 2022 Areas affected...Northern South Carolina...North Carolina...Southern and Central Virginia Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 161342Z - 161945Z SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall with rates exceeding one inch per hour will be possible across the southern Appalachians and Virginia Piedmont this morning from western North Carolina into southern and central Virginia. Freezing rain or a changeover to freezing rain is expected from parts of northern South Carolina northeastward into southeastern Virginia. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low moving eastward across the central Gulf Coast states with divergent mid-level flow located across southern sections of the Eastern Seaboard. A plume of mid-level moisture is located across the Carolinas and Virginia, where widespread precipitation is ongoing. Temperatures are currently below freezing across much of the southern Appalachian Mountains, where snow is being reported. A few locations have exceeded one inch per hour snowfall rates. As large-scale ascent spreads northeastward ahead of the upper-level low, the potential for heavy snow should increase across parts of western and central Virginia. Further to the east, temperatures are also below freezing across much of the North Carolina Piedmont. In this area, freezing rain is being reported in many locations due to a low-level warm layer that is forecast to spread northward into southeastern Virginia later this morning. In response, freezing rain should continue across parts of central North Carolina. Snow should gradually change over to freezing rain across much of southeastern Virginia this morning. ..Broyles/Edwards.. 01/16/2022

You got that right 4.5 and coming down hard in Valdese(Burke County). I think we get 6 inches no problem if it stays mostly snow like GSP is saying now.

Yeah its coming down hard in Valdese just went out and measured 3 different spots. Have just over 4.5 inches I don't know where our totals might end up now but I'm so happy. Keep it coming also seen Morganton has about 4 reports of 5 inches.

Is it snowing hard in Valdese in Burke county have to be near 3 inches now was at about 2 about a hour ago. But this band is crazy!

Snowing very good in Valdese temp 26 getting close to the 2 inch mark seen GSP now thinks the foothills of western NC. Will stay mostly snow for the remainder of the event. Also these NE winds are crazy strong.

Yeah your doing great I hope that band moves up this way.

GSP on there point and click brought back our snow totals for Burke your area and back to Valdese/Morganton now says 3-5inches for today.

Thanks that's the one I was looking for!

Very nice could I get a good radar that people use I lost the one I used.

Well unless yall are thinking I'm getting between 0.25 and 0.50 then I can see that.