
NeonPeon
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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022
NeonPeon replied to TalcottWx's topic in New England
Lovely preamble, this. -
I feel like every storm we talk about how unusual it is that there's disagreement. I think there is just a phenomena where the more specific the expected result seems to become defined, the more variance there appears to be. We have far more consensus now than yesterday, and so on. It's most sensible for those on the edges, as always.
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Shoot for the stars. If you fail, you'll still... post frothing rage, righteously indignant at the injustice of it all! I forgot how the phrase goes. I've been thinking 9 inches in my back yard for days. That'd be top 5 in my time here. I know that wouldn't raise an eyebrow elsewhere. Any more is gravy. I know plenty of guidance shows more. Once bitten, twice shy.
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The banding features are there in every storm. First I track whether the storm is actually coming. Once there is consensus on that I turn to the question of how it's going to screw me. This one is going to screw me in a fairly unoriginal way, it looks like. But, it's so enormous I'll still end up with plowable.
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No one is ever arsed to show it in detail. People who live around the bay can apply the normal modifier. So many banding signatures show what always happens, better stuff northeast and better stuff west. In a very big storm, it gets enough goods around anyway. Im very dubious on a foot or more here, but that's the official forecast.
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If it was juno redux, I would welcome it. Even though we got a relative min as usual, it was impossible to know precisely what we got anyway, there was so much drifring. There were drifts over the fences and bare grass. I skiied to a friend's 2 miles away and brought Glenlivet with me. It was a simpler time.