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Everything posted by dwagner88
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Pretty fascinating that coastal CA has had more warnings than OHX.
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February 2024 mid/ long range
dwagner88 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Horrible winter here. Less than an inch of sleet was my seasonal total. I missed a 6" snow event by about 20 miles.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
dwagner88 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
60 and sunny in Chattanooga, 32 and snowing in Wise. That’s a long ways from here but still a huge difference in temperature.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
dwagner88 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’m still skeptical. It was supposed to rain all day yesterday and all night last night. So far just a trace here.- 750 replies
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Very odd movement of precipitation from SE to NW today. That's pretty rare.
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I got nailed in that one. Over 10" of wet concrete. Even the airport got about 8". Downtown got less due to mixing.
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MRX messed up their event report for this. Officially KCHA got 1.7". MRX's report states that this is the most January snowfall for KCHA since 1996. They seem to have forgotten about the January 2011 snowstorm that brought nearly 8" to KCHA overnight. 1.7" being the largest event in 28 years is really sad. Even for here.
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February 2024 mid/ long range
dwagner88 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I haven't run outside since before Christmas. I've done almost 100 miles on a treadmill since then. I'm finally going to fix that this weekend.- 750 replies
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The WAA is shocking. Started out at 11.8 degrees this morning. Already pushing 40 in just a few hours.
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Strangely, my low temp last night was identical to my coldest temp in the arctic blast last year after Christmas. 5.4 degrees. Maybe that's the limit without snow cover around here.
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We don't use it very often because it is both extremely expensive and extremely corrosive. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The calcium is good to around zero. That's what we've been using up there all day. Salt and brine are already worthless at current temps. We are trying to get a lane cleared in each direction before the sun goes down. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm working on it. Just sent a grader and two trucks with liquid calcium chloride up there. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just went on a long drive out to the Rhea/Roane county line. Spring City might get a foot. They had over 6" when I left and it was snowing about as hard as I have ever seen. I parked my truck for 20 minutes and got just under 2" on the mirrors and the toolbox. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Right next to Apison elementary. It’s actually picked back up now. I would call it moderate. Maybe the column has cooled enough to get rid of some of the sleet. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think the transition is in between you and me. I had nice flakes 20 minutes ago, now mostly sleet again. Shame too. The radar actually looks amazing. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I actually don’t think Chattanooga is going to get screwed. The entire area except eastern Polk has wetbulbed below freezing. There appears to be no mechanism to allow for warming today with precipitation falling, solid cloud cover, and continued push south of Arctic air. We are going to get frozen precipitation, the only question is what form does it take? I hope for more snow, but with the first wave it started as light snow and finished as sleet. Currently it’s 30 degrees with a DP of 27 IMBY. There is a light accumulation of sleet on elevated surfaces. No precip right now. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Definitely. I’m at 32.2 now but we have a warm nose problem. I started all snow and now I’m 100% sleet. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Down to 33 here. Very light snow continues. DP is 28. All systems go as long as we don't get a warm nose. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm south of you and I am all snow, but it's light. Not sure what's going on there. Maybe some colder air trapped on this side of the ridges. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Temp 36.3 DP 28.2. That should be enough to wet bulb to 32 or lower. Just need to get some qpf now. So far no flakes on the east side of white oak mtn. Edit: Right as I posted that, we have tiny flakes. No sleet that I can hear. Appears to be all snow just extremely small flakes. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Temp 38 DP 30. Close but no cigar yet. Looks like in N. Alabama the sleet/snow line has pushed south a little in the last few frames. That is encouraging. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This tracks. I think your PWS is pretty accurate. I'm reading a temp of 40.8 (it is dropping pretty steadily now) and a DP of 31.4. The temp drop is encouraging, but the DP has basically been steady all afternoon. I'd like to see it drop down a bit. Surface wetbulb is way above freezing right now, but that doesn't mean we can't cool further. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
FWIW my temp is completely stalled at 44 DP 30 for the past 2 hours. Not sure the CF is making much progress. That may lend more credence to the NAM. I'm in a really bad spot for this one though. Almost as far SE as you can get in Hamilton county. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm not sure. I didn't look at the hourly frames. But I did notice a couple of things. The accumulations shot further down into north AL and GA, but they clearly aren't all snow. The difference between the 10:1 and Kuchera is too much. I think it's sleet. I also think it's kinda pointless to look at it at such a fine grained level. There will be a warm nose somewhere, but there's no way the models are going to nail that down precisely. I still think the arctic air wins out and the sleet is minimal.