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dwagner88

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Everything posted by dwagner88

  1. dwagner88
    I wondered if maybe it overtopped for a while.
  2. dwagner88
    Apparently the waterville dam did NOT fail. May have been overtopped. But the dam itself is not in danger of failing and the NWS has cancelled the FF emergency for Cocke county.
  3. dwagner88
    Is I-26 also washed out or just flooded? I guess we don't really know yet.
  4. dwagner88
    Apparently the waterville dam has failed? That's a huge dam. I-40 is washed out on the TN side of the line.
  5. dwagner88
    Almost 5" in the bucket here. Really not much wind to speak of so far. It looks like the winds may come after the rain leaves later today.
  6. dwagner88
    So similar in behavior to Michael as it approached landfall. But this is a MUCH larger storm.
  7. dwagner88
    I've actually been thinking about this one. The resulting derecho in the Gulf produced a high storm surge at Cedar Key, FL (9.5 ft). Cedar Key is also expecting some of the worst of the surge from this one.
  8. dwagner88
    So far underperforming here. Only 0.40" in my bucket. Most modeling puts out 4-7" starting late this afternoon through mid day tomorrow. If we got the winds now, the saturated ground wouldn't be an issue, but if it rains that hard all night, we will have problems in the AM. I'll be shocked if anybody goes to school tomorrow. Our friends on the other side of the mountains are going to get a generational flooding event out of this. And most of that area is inside the TN river drainage basin.
  9. dwagner88
    I don't think storm surge is a concern for Tallahassee. It's at like 200' ASL.
  10. dwagner88
    The amount of rain being shown from the ULL is absolutely being influenced by Helene. That's the PRE.
  11. dwagner88
    Looks like this area may get a PRE ahead of Helene midweek. That will be very interesting to watch. Flash flooding will be a huge concern with the very hard and dry ground. The last one I can remember was in 2011 from a TS that hit LA and interacted with a front across the TN valley. We got 12" of rain from it.
  12. dwagner88
    KCHA is definitely going to blow past 100 today. 99 already. We had a great run of nearly 5 years with no triple digit heat, but it has come in somewhat of an abundance this summer.
  13. dwagner88
    We had horrible flooding in this corner of the state and throughout northern GA in September 2009. I think I ended that month with over 17" of rain and I don't think there was a single tropical system involved. Looks like we topped out at 97 at KCHA yesterday. Today's official forecast is for 100. At no point did the heat index exceed the air temp yesterday. It actually didn't feel too horrible. Just hot, not sticky.
  14. dwagner88
    Barely scratched the 50's here yesterday at 59.5. The high was 81.5. Still felt nice, but that August sun is hot on the skin even if the air temps are low.
  15. dwagner88
    I started watering again today. Thing's haven't dried out completely, but I'm trying my best to stay ahead of it. These next few days of slightly cooler weather could be fantastic for the grass if I can keep it happy with some water. EDIT: I should not have done this. An outer rain band has formed and it is raining sideways. Looks like it could train for a while too. . .
  16. dwagner88
    9.60" since 7/19. It's quite soggy.
  17. dwagner88
    Rained pretty hard all night last night. Now I’m up to 7.70”. This is one of the more shocking summertime pattern changes I can ever remember.
  18. dwagner88
    Last Friday morning saw the driest ground conditions I can remember for quite some time around here. Since then, I've had 5.70" of rain and now I have mushrooms in the front yard. Talk about a big swing.
  19. dwagner88
    Not a single drop again today. 80% yesterday, 70% today and nothing. It's been a long time since I've seen a forecast bust that badly two days in a row. At least it isn't hot anymore. Only mid 80's under cloud cover.
  20. dwagner88
    NWS forecast: High 92 80% rain Actual Conditions at KCHA: 97 HI 104 no rain in sight.
  21. dwagner88
    I'll be honest, it was 101 Satuday and 100 yesterday officially, but it really didn't feel that bad. Humidity was quite low. Last July's 97 air 81 dew was WAY worse.
  22. dwagner88
    When I was growing up March was always the wettest month of the year here. It was the only one where we averaged more than 6" of precip. I think when the climate averages were recalculated in 2010, it shifted to July being the wettest month. If you have a severe drought in what should be the wettest time of the year, it's very hard to not have that drought linger for months and months afterwards. Tropical systems may be our only shot at avoiding a 2016-esque fall.
  23. dwagner88
    Made it from 59 to 97 here yesterday. I think the airport has a decent shot at 100 this afternoon. My grass is toast. I was out of town last week and it didn't get any water. It's bermuda and it's already torched and mostly dormant. EDIT: It's official. 100 at KCHA this afternoon.
  24. dwagner88
    I strongly suspect that we will see a confirmed weak tornado in southern Hamilton, Bradley and Polk counties from the squall line this AM. It developed a wicked inflow notch right after it crossed I-75. There is a line of heavier tree damage extending from about my place in Apison all the way to the Cherokee National Forest.
  25. dwagner88
    HTX radar is pretty terrifying. Gonna be a long night here. The air has “the feel”.
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