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dwagner88

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Everything posted by dwagner88

  1. dwagner88
    100% agreed. That warm nose is only going to be a problem if the precip dies out as the storm moves to the east.
  2. dwagner88
    That is actually possible. There is some CAD at play.
  3. dwagner88
    I've seen that happen with freezing drizzle down here before. Most recently in 2011. We had 7 inches of powdery snow then a few hours of freezing drizzle with temps in the low 20's. It made the snow very resistant to melting.
  4. dwagner88
    It shifted south pretty significantly. Northern ATL suburbs got the heavier stuff shown across southern TN on the 18Z.
  5. dwagner88
    Well I sit on a hilltop 2 miles north of the GA state line at about 1000’ in elevation. I’m quite optimistic at this point.
  6. dwagner88
    That looks like a repeat of Jan 2024 to me. Big pass. I really don't want to watch it sleet again. So far it's just the Canadian models that see the sleet on the southern periphery. Everything else is showing all snow, and some are big hits.
  7. dwagner88
    Their >4" probability chart shows it even more pronounced. It actually intrudes all the way past I-75 in Bradley and Hamilton counties. I don't buy that. Even in very intense downsloping events (IE January 2016) I don't think I've ever seen it affect more than a 10 mile strip of land along the US411 corridor down here. BTW the probabilities for >4" are as follows: Chattanooga: 36% Cleveland: 26% Athens: 33% Knoxville: 46% Crossville: 48% JC: 22% Kingsport: 25%
  8. dwagner88
    Almost the entire mid state. Those two small dots in Grundy county are just out of luck.
  9. dwagner88
    I got up on the roof and took down Christmas lights. That was exhilarating.
  10. dwagner88
    I’ve never seen snow verify here from an anafront. Count me as rooting against that. I would rather expect frigid and dry.
  11. dwagner88
    We had hail yesterday with the storms. Not much lightning down here though. And only 0.15" of rain. I have a few friends with wells that are concerned. They are still getting low water warnings on their systems even in December. That's almost unheard of. The only real heavy rain event we've had since July was Helene, and that all fell so quickly it mostly ran off and did nothing for groundwater replenishment.
  12. dwagner88
    That was a really depressing storm for here. Missed out on flakes by about 5 miles. Kinda like the big storm last year.
  13. dwagner88
    Very efficient radiational cooling last night. Got down to 18.9.
  14. dwagner88
    Longer term, I'm hoping we pick back up a more normal rainfall pattern as spring rolls in. We really don't need a third straight year of drought.
  15. dwagner88
    It’s even snowing a bit down here tonight. I would say this overperformed.
  16. dwagner88
    Models still not fired up for any rain in the eastern half of the state. Looks like we miss with heavy rains both to the west and the east.
  17. dwagner88
    GFS is not enthused about any real rain in this half of the state. It's almost totally dry through 384 down here.
  18. dwagner88
    I've actually been pretty worried about the health consequences this dry weather will have for the areas that were inundated with feet of mud following the floods. That mud is going to (and probably already is) turn into dust and become airborne. There's no telling what sort of nasty stuff is in it.
  19. dwagner88
    It was kinda hard to tell on webcams but it looked to me like the big boat dock at the riverfront started going underwater today. The Ironman triathlon was held here yesterday. They had already announced a cancellation of the swimming portion of the event on Friday.
  20. dwagner88
    Yeah if we could move the relevant posts I think that's the best move for archiving's sake. Pretty crazy that we didn't have a dedicated thread for what is likely to wind up being our most costly natural disaster.
  21. dwagner88
    I’m a little surprised Clemson was able to host this game.
  22. dwagner88
    I made a drive to McMinn county today to deal with a roadway issue (frankly inconsequential compared to what’s happening elsewhere), and I noticed way heavier than normal volumes on I-75. We actually had backups over white oak mtn. That normally only happens on holiday weekends. Likely to be the norm for a while unfortunately.
  23. dwagner88
    SR81, SR107, and I-26 are all gone. Not sure about any others. I imagine all will need to be inspected for scour damage even if they are still standing.
  24. dwagner88
    There is a tremendous amount of infrastructure damage. I shudder to think what traffic will be like on roads like US64 without I-40 and I-26 available to trucks. I've just seen a picture of I-26. It's going to be a while before we get even the major roads back to normal. Much less the countless smaller roads with slides and washouts.
  25. dwagner88
    Common denominator with the severe flooding in NE TN is the watershed. The Pigeon, the French Broad, and the Nolichucky all drain Western NC. Newport, for example, didn't even get very much rain. The 4 day rainfall total is around 4-5" per radar, but they are having record flooding because of the magnitude of the event that took place in western NC this week.
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