Haven't had my hopes up about anything with this storm.
One run doesn't kill it but, this is about the time frame that the models had begun to kill off the previous storms.
Thanks for the trend images.
I would love to see 3-5 around here but, based on recent trends, I expect the models to start moving the system too far N or dry slot us. I do like where the NAM is placing the L in SW OK at the end of its run but expect that to change or for the L to weaken as it turns NE.
For Tulsa county, running H/L averages using GFS, v3, CMC, ICON, GEM, GEFS1-20, Euro1-50, C, M:
Low end average of 1.4 - high end average 2.5 with an overall average of 1.9.
Not super exciting at this point.
It’s a long way off but, the CFS shows a prolonged period of below freezing temps and four waves moving through between 1/23-1/30 for OK.
Most favorable pattern I’ve seen so far for winter weather chances this season.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Rain and freezing rain. Ice accumulations up to one tenth
of an inch are expected.
* WHERE...Osage, Washington OK, Pawnee and Tulsa Counties.
* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Friday.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will impact travel
conditions. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times.
For most of NE OK
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Sleet and snow accumulations of up
to three tenths of an inch and ice accumulations of up to a
tenth of an inch are expected.
* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Oklahoma.
* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions,
especially on bridges and overpasses, where surface temperatures
hover near or slightly below freezing