snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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Would not surprise me if some areas approach 85 tomorrow afternoon
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Take the over for Saturday away from the coast
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Just turn your air conditioner on as low as it will go that day so you can wear your hat, gloves, scarf, winter coat and boots. Play some Christmas music too
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Great bring on the torch on Saturday. My little cousin has his high school baseball home opener game that day. Hope it’s sunny and 80.
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Westerly downsloping flow, no clouds and a late March/April sun angle always overperforms with warmth
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It was over 10 years ago now, but I distinctly remember it being April and Mr. G on WCBS had a video of it snowing and in the 30’s up in Plattsburgh, NY while it was 80 degrees in NYC
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And when it shows a phantom early April blizzard within the next few days, the same usual suspects on here and on twitter will fall for it again “It happened in 1997!!!!!!”
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And the GFS is probably dead wrong again, as usual
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Snow on Wednesday should be a real good trick with temps going up to 50 degrees
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Winter is over
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If that warm front advances through and we get westerly downsloping flow with sun on Saturday, 80 degrees in parts of the area (away from the coast) is definitely achievable
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The same people on these forums still chasing snow ghosts. Gotta admire their determination, they’ve been going strong since November, 5 months and counting….
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If the ICON is correct, we get damn close to 80 degrees next weekend
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The only ones who think we are going back into winter are Joe Bastardi and Mark Margavage. The long range into April looks warm
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I think we will have the 1st legit shot at 80+ in the area come the 1st week of April. The SE ridge is starting to show up on the long range ensembles
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@40/70 Benchmark Maybe finally, at long last we are going into a -AMO cycle like we had in the 1980’s?
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It looks like we may finally be going into a -AMO cycle like we had in the 1980’s:
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Yep. Trees and telephone poles down galore in my area. Numerous reports of thundersnow with that storm too. Real strong elevated convection, I remember the NAM soundings being dead on from the 12z run, showing off the charts CAPE instability with intense UVVs. HM was still active in these forums at that point and I remember him saying there was going to be a lot of lightning/thunder with the band that formed
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The frontogen/deform band from the storm that hit around the afternoon rush hour St. Patrick’s Day week (I forget the actual date) back in 2018 was insane. It was the heaviest snow I ever saw in my life. Cars were stuck on almost every road I turned down coming home from work. It was easily snowing at 4” per hour at one point, true white out conditions
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It’s a total embarrassment and it pulls this crap literally every March and early-mid April….shows historic blizzards and 20, 30, 40 inches of snow over a 16 day period, which ends of verifying as not even so much as a trace. Complete circus show
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I enjoy the entertainment value
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And just like that…..the unbelievably horrendous, outlier GFS completely caves to all the other guidance for Friday. Poof! It’s gone! Literally the worst model there is, hands down. Not even worth looking at anymore
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Close your eyes and what do you see?
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And there is no support from any other models. Zero, zilch, nada, zippo, nothing. Literally not one other model (EURO, CMC, EURO-AI, ICON, UKMET, NAM, RGEM, NBM) looks anything at all like the GFS. It’s in a universe all to its own again and it’s going to be wrong again. People can track GFS digital snow ghosts all they want, that’s their right. They’ve been doing it since November, so why stop now?
