snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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One thing is for sure, the “pro” met who forecasted a cold and snowy March in the northeast and used 1888, 1958, 1993, 2014, 2015 and 2018 as his analogs failed massively. A monumental, epic bust
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Already 69 degrees here in Sloatsburg under full sunshine. I don’t think we have any issue getting to 80, if not into the low 80’s within the next several hours. Westerly flow/sun/downsloping, compressional heating FTW here
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Mark Margavage posted on twitter that because 0.1 of rain fell last night that it’s impossible that PA is going to see 80 degree temps today because of evaporational cooling. Total clown
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The meltdowns some are having over one day of 80+ is really, really weird to say the least. Like doing all they can to “prove” and wishcast it not to happen, posting any outlier model run that doesn’t show it happening over and over for the last several days. I don’t get it. Just bizarre
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The good thing is it won’t be humid. That normally doesn’t start until May
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Would not surprise me if some areas approach 85 tomorrow afternoon
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Take the over for Saturday away from the coast
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Just turn your air conditioner on as low as it will go that day so you can wear your hat, gloves, scarf, winter coat and boots. Play some Christmas music too
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Great bring on the torch on Saturday. My little cousin has his high school baseball home opener game that day. Hope it’s sunny and 80.
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Westerly downsloping flow, no clouds and a late March/April sun angle always overperforms with warmth
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It was over 10 years ago now, but I distinctly remember it being April and Mr. G on WCBS had a video of it snowing and in the 30’s up in Plattsburgh, NY while it was 80 degrees in NYC
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And when it shows a phantom early April blizzard within the next few days, the same usual suspects on here and on twitter will fall for it again “It happened in 1997!!!!!!”
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And the GFS is probably dead wrong again, as usual
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Snow on Wednesday should be a real good trick with temps going up to 50 degrees
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Winter is over
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If that warm front advances through and we get westerly downsloping flow with sun on Saturday, 80 degrees in parts of the area (away from the coast) is definitely achievable
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The same people on these forums still chasing snow ghosts. Gotta admire their determination, they’ve been going strong since November, 5 months and counting….
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If the ICON is correct, we get damn close to 80 degrees next weekend
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The only ones who think we are going back into winter are Joe Bastardi and Mark Margavage. The long range into April looks warm
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I think we will have the 1st legit shot at 80+ in the area come the 1st week of April. The SE ridge is starting to show up on the long range ensembles
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@40/70 Benchmark Maybe finally, at long last we are going into a -AMO cycle like we had in the 1980’s?
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It looks like we may finally be going into a -AMO cycle like we had in the 1980’s:
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Yep. Trees and telephone poles down galore in my area. Numerous reports of thundersnow with that storm too. Real strong elevated convection, I remember the NAM soundings being dead on from the 12z run, showing off the charts CAPE instability with intense UVVs. HM was still active in these forums at that point and I remember him saying there was going to be a lot of lightning/thunder with the band that formed
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The frontogen/deform band from the storm that hit around the afternoon rush hour St. Patrick’s Day week (I forget the actual date) back in 2018 was insane. It was the heaviest snow I ever saw in my life. Cars were stuck on almost every road I turned down coming home from work. It was easily snowing at 4” per hour at one point, true white out conditions
