snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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Lol I’ll have to look. I stopped following him a few years ago
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“There is no global warming...it’s all a big hoax and a conspiracy, all lies”..... OK JB lol
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People actually still listen to that delusional idiot? Lmfaooo
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The worst was Joe Bastardi, all winter long. I honestly question that man’s mental health. Dude is delusional, possibly has dementia. He really needs to retire, no credibility at all anymore, no one will ever take him seriously again, laughing stock of the weather profession
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Pretty good evidence that the -NAO is not going to last and it breaks down completely. Come mid-April it’s probably t-shirts and shorts weather. The AO looks to skyrocket by mid month
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Don, I hope I’m wrong but I think there is growing evidence for a scorching hot later spring, summer and fall in our area...developing (possibly significant) La Niña, negative PDO, continued tendency for strong SE ridging/WAR, way above normal SSTs along and off the east coast....
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Shocking, another advertised -NAO/-AO getting weaker as we draw closer in time. Next week looks like another total non event. The beat goes on
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We have reached the time of the year where in order to get a snowstorm anywhere south of New England you would need either A - A highly anomalous, record arctic outbreak/CAD in place (we don’t have that) or B - A storm to absolutely bomb on the benchmark with very heavy precip rates and very strong UVVs to dynamically cool the column and “create” its own cold air from above. Other than that, you now have climo, a September equivalent sun angle and length of day working overtime against you....
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When thar happened to me last spring, they gave me Doxycycline twice a day for 10 days as a precaution
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Ok Joe Bastardi
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That’s what is separating us from last year for late March and April. I think the SE ridge is much more dominant, which will help to temper the -NAO over the too much more and lead to a much warmer outcome
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It does not look like the past few April’s, the SE ridge is going to flex this time around with or without a -NAO
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What does that have to do with Wednesday? And you got a trace of sleet and white rain, congrats! The snowstorm idea of several days ago was an epic fail just like most reasonable people knew it would be
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Wednesday is DOA even way inland. The Euro solution was bogus again just like the one it had last week for yesterday
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Yep a -NAO and SE ridge can coexist, a common misconception is that it’s impossible to have -NAO and a SE ridge at the same time. That’s what some people don’t understand, they’ll see a -NAO block and think omg it’s going to be cold, not when a SE ridge is flexing underneath it it’s not....
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How many times does no cold air in place with rain to start out flip over to snow and accumulate in the middle of winter work out in our area, let alone a weak storm during the day at the end of March? Good luck
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Bogus. It’s the same thing it’s been doing at day 4-5 over and over, like this coming storm. It was showing a foot of snow in Rockland County tomorrow
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Agreed, the new Euro is basically a total non event until north of 84
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The NAM caved to the warmer guidance. It was a cold outlier all along. You do know what an outlier is right?
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Huge mid-level warm push on all models now. The new HREF run has nothing at all for snow accumulations south of 84 and it cut back amounts even north of 84. The boundary layer is warmer as well. NAM was way too cold once again. This is nothing more than a white rain event for most of the metro area
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Too bad it’s an outlier
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The NAM is in a world all onto its own. The new RGEM, GFS, CMC, UKMET, ICON and last Euro look nothing like it and aren’t anywhere near as cold. Huge outlier right now
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The NAM is the coldest yea. The GFS wants nothing at all to do with Monday, even inland. It hasn’t budged. The Euro is also much warmer than the NAM. Makes me think the NAM is too cold
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Even inland, there’s not going to be 10:1 ratios, not even close. That map is bogus. This is a more realistic one, assuming the NAM is even right that is: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=neus&pkg=asnowd&runtime=2020032112&fh=66
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JB’s cold March hype turned into another massive bust. That guy might as well go into hiding for a really long time
