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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    Easily 2 feet + up here, still light snow, some sleet mixing in now. By far the biggest event since January, 2016. Well over 24 hours of steady snow
  2. snowman19
    They throw them out every storm, January, 1996 too. I made that comment yesterday morning, it looked nothing at all like it does right now yesterday morning
  3. snowman19
    That is approaching January, 2016, February, 2006 territory right there. Hard to believe....
  4. snowman19
    If that’s correct, I feel bad for the guys who plow snow. It’s literally impossible to keep up with that, totally impossible. Hopefully people are smart and stay the hell off the roads so they don’t get stuck and add to the chaos that will be ensuing
  5. snowman19
    If the NAM is correct, there is going to be a ridiculous frontogen band over northern NJ into SE NY tomorrow into tomorrow night. Easily 18”+ I haven’t seen a depiction like that since January, 2016. It looks even more impressive than the March, 2018 blizzard verbatim
  6. snowman19
    If anyone is really expecting the biggest NYC snowstorm ever in history (over 27 inches - January, 2016) this week, they’re probably going to be very sorely disappointed
  7. snowman19
    I think this corrects even further south tonight. The models were too far west and north at 0Z IMO, we just saw the correction from the NAM, I think this continues
  8. snowman19
    This is why the NAM is going bye bye in March. The NWS is retiring it and for good reason
  9. snowman19
    There is a good snowstorm coming for NYC, no doubt. Twitter is ridiculous though, I’m seeing people comparing this storm to February, 2006, January, 2016, December, 2010, February, 2010, January, 1996. Ludicrous comparisons, completely different setups, totally. Some people go with the most historic snowstorms ever in NYC every time a storm is coming and say they are great analogs and identical setups and run with it for hype and clickbait. It’s like everytime there’s a storm off the east coast, those historic storms become “great analogs” and “identical setups” to some, every winter.....
  10. snowman19
    This is looking more and more like a NYC and south snowstorm. The op Euro/EPS is deadly in this time frame and has been very consistent since 12z yesterday, we’ll see what it does at 12z today, but it’s definitely not encouraging for the northern/northwest suburbs. NYC is the place to be for this one, I can see a very sharp cutoff to next to nothing north of the city, IMO
  11. snowman19
    It was good for NYC, cutoff on snow north and west. Not everyone in this forum lives in NYC
  12. snowman19
    For NYC maybe, areas to the north and west don’t look good. But look at the new ICON, GFS, and even the NAM at the end of its run, they are all going south now like the Euro/EPS. The 12z Ukie was the start of the trend
  13. snowman19
    The EPS looks the same. Agrees with the Euro operational
  14. snowman19
    Similar trolls lol regardless, I don’t have anything personal against anyone on here. I love weather. Do I lean warm...Yes, absolutely, but why shouldn’t I in this new climate? It’s whatever lol I enjoy talking about weather as you know, just a shame that you get trolled and attacked on here by the usual suspects when your narrative isn’t consistently “cold and snowy for the east coast” When I get trolled I respond lol
  15. snowman19
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf-ens&region=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2021012800&fh=240
  16. snowman19
    EPS disagrees and pumps the SE ridge big time
  17. snowman19
    That was funny lmfaooo
  18. snowman19
    @Allsnow“La Niña is dead” - over a month ago from you lol another good one. Reality:
  19. snowman19
    @AllsnowKarma. It’s going to be funny when we have a raging SE ridge by the end of the 1st week of February lol It’s already starting to show up on guidance. The ‘SSW, epic cold and snow blocked January’ turned into an epic, monumental fail. What’s your other favorite saying...oh yea “CCB ownage” lol BTW, I’m still waiting for my “4-8 inch type deal” you said yesterday was going to be....I got a big inch, comical. I can’t wait to troll you lol
  20. snowman19
    Yea, phase 7 in a La Niña winter, especially as you get beyond the first week of February is a strong warm signal in the east
  21. snowman19
    It’s weird because normally, almost always really, with the big coastal snowstorms, the GFS is way too far south/suppressed and consistently shows a miss, then it finally gets a clue in the closing few days before the storm and shows a hit like the other models already had been. This is the opposite right now
  22. snowman19
    Gone to light drizzle here now, around 1 inch of snow total, still some sleet mixing in at times
  23. snowman19
    Hot off the presses....From the National Weather Service: (And this is for Rockland), only up to 2 inches of snow total from this, for NYC, even less, up to 1 inch total. This is a very, very minor snow event. Please stop trying to turn this into something it’s not. Rockland: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ069&warncounty=NYC087&firewxzone=NYZ069&local_place1=Montebello NY&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=41.1288&lon=-74.1181#.YA8y8aQ8IlQ Here’s NYC, 1 inch total: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ073&warncounty=NYC005&firewxzone=NYZ073&local_place1=Bronx NY&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=40.8489&lon=-73.8762#.YA8z_aQ8IlQ
  24. snowman19
    Maybe for New England
  25. snowman19
    Yep and the ratios aren’t going to be that good with mixing issues, the actual snow amounts are going to be less. Some of those totals on that map are sleet counted as snow
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