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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. My allergies are the worst they’ve ever been in my life. It started the week of St. Patrick’s Day and have been relentless ever since. My allergist just had to change my prescriptions yesterday afternoon
  2. Pretty good agreement among all ensembles now that the pattern breaks come mid-month. It may get quite warm mid-April and beyond with that SE ridge flex. I have a feeling we are in for some early season heat come May
  3. Yep, even for the 40’s-80’s colder time frame, April, 1982 was very highly anomalous, a true fluke month
  4. Thursday has some scary looking soundings for parts of the area. We may be in for one hell of a severe weather event
  5. There was an extremely impressive band off of Ontario last night, some areas in the higher elevations probably saw well over a foot
  6. Getting snow squalls here now
  7. Occasional snow showers and 42 in Sloatsburg
  8. Seeing obs of snow at High Point State Park in Sussex County, NJ
  9. 48 degrees in Sloatsburg, heavy rain showers mixed with some hail. Extremely unstable/convective right now, cumulus congestus and towering cumulus all over with breaks of sun
  10. The projected Niña strengthening being forecasted by the models looks credible given the atmospheric and oceanic states. It’s starting to look it a very real possibility that we see a La Niña for the 3rd winter in a row
  11. Nothing is guaranteed in weather obviously but I see some good signs that this April won’t be like those years and could actually turn out warmer and drier than normal
  12. There are some signs that April may end up being a lot warmer than some people think right now. I don’t think it ends up anything like last April. I also think we start torching in May
  13. You didn’t read a thing I said, I said the LENGTH!!!!! Either you didn’t read or you need Pearl Vision
  14. The Euro now has a torch (70F+) day late next week on the new run. So much for that sustained arctic cold into April. This is probably the beginning of the Euro backing off on the length of the cold shot as we draw closer in time
  15. @bluewaveHad completely different official numbers for NYC yesterday
  16. Again……NYC proper, AFTER the EQUINOX (3/20), in the 22 years since 2000, go back and look for yourself
  17. Since January, 2000, after the equinox, NYC has yet a see a significant or even minor snowstorm. That is very telling
  18. You repeat the same thing about Sloatsburg over and over. Please get a new routine
  19. The great thing is that no matter what falls, if it even happens, will be gone in less than 12 hours
  20. Agreed, if we actually do go into a true -AMO along with the -PDO, I wonder if we may see a drop in temps (probably will be very little) or the warming may stop for awhile? But it would be interesting to see what the result is on global temps
  21. Sadly, yes. I have a bad feeling we are going to see a Bermuda High on roids from May - September
  22. The Atlantic is definitely starting to take on a -AMO look….wonder if this is the beginning of another long term -AMO cycle. If so, we may be seeing a lot more +NAO in the years to come, a la the 1980’s….
  23. I really admire your spirit. Mid-Atlantic, post-spring Equinox and you’re still hyping 7-10 day “snow” threats….that’s commitment lol
  24. Yea, that would have definitely been a textbook, honking KU snowstorm signal for sure a month ago….too little, too late now…there’s always next winter….
  25. Let’s hope the EPS is too aggressive with the blocking just as it was all winter, there was a time when the EPS was showing early to mid-March to be in the freezer. This is the 2nd year in a row that I had to turn my A/C on in March. Needed it in the afternoon both days last week. The only other time I can remember needing A/C in March before last year was 2012….
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