snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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Yes, a 3rd year La Niña is starting to definitely look likely:
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My allergies are the worst they’ve ever been in my life. It started the week of St. Patrick’s Day and have been relentless ever since. My allergist just had to change my prescriptions yesterday afternoon
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Pretty good agreement among all ensembles now that the pattern breaks come mid-month. It may get quite warm mid-April and beyond with that SE ridge flex. I have a feeling we are in for some early season heat come May
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Yep, even for the 40’s-80’s colder time frame, April, 1982 was very highly anomalous, a true fluke month
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Thursday has some scary looking soundings for parts of the area. We may be in for one hell of a severe weather event
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There was an extremely impressive band off of Ontario last night, some areas in the higher elevations probably saw well over a foot
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Getting snow squalls here now
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Occasional snow showers and 42 in Sloatsburg
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Seeing obs of snow at High Point State Park in Sussex County, NJ
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48 degrees in Sloatsburg, heavy rain showers mixed with some hail. Extremely unstable/convective right now, cumulus congestus and towering cumulus all over with breaks of sun
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The projected Niña strengthening being forecasted by the models looks credible given the atmospheric and oceanic states. It’s starting to look it a very real possibility that we see a La Niña for the 3rd winter in a row
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Nothing is guaranteed in weather obviously but I see some good signs that this April won’t be like those years and could actually turn out warmer and drier than normal
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There are some signs that April may end up being a lot warmer than some people think right now. I don’t think it ends up anything like last April. I also think we start torching in May
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You didn’t read a thing I said, I said the LENGTH!!!!! Either you didn’t read or you need Pearl Vision
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The Euro now has a torch (70F+) day late next week on the new run. So much for that sustained arctic cold into April. This is probably the beginning of the Euro backing off on the length of the cold shot as we draw closer in time
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@bluewaveHad completely different official numbers for NYC yesterday
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Again……NYC proper, AFTER the EQUINOX (3/20), in the 22 years since 2000, go back and look for yourself
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Since January, 2000, after the equinox, NYC has yet a see a significant or even minor snowstorm. That is very telling
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You repeat the same thing about Sloatsburg over and over. Please get a new routine
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The great thing is that no matter what falls, if it even happens, will be gone in less than 12 hours
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Agreed, if we actually do go into a true -AMO along with the -PDO, I wonder if we may see a drop in temps (probably will be very little) or the warming may stop for awhile? But it would be interesting to see what the result is on global temps
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Sadly, yes. I have a bad feeling we are going to see a Bermuda High on roids from May - September
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The Atlantic is definitely starting to take on a -AMO look….wonder if this is the beginning of another long term -AMO cycle. If so, we may be seeing a lot more +NAO in the years to come, a la the 1980’s….
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I really admire your spirit. Mid-Atlantic, post-spring Equinox and you’re still hyping 7-10 day “snow” threats….that’s commitment lol
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Yea, that would have definitely been a textbook, honking KU snowstorm signal for sure a month ago….too little, too late now…there’s always next winter….
