Jump to content

snowman19

Daily Post Limited Member
  • Posts

    10,328
  • Joined

Everything posted by snowman19

  1. This is huge and it’s going to cause another massive WWB and very likely start “Bjerknes feedback”:
  2. “Still looks like we have a chance for twin TCs in the West Pacific soon. Perhaps even triplets, with a second system in the Southern Hemisphere. Regardless, the ongoing westerly wind burst (WWB) looks to be enhanced out there, further enhancing the downwelling Kelvin Wave that's growing. Also looks like weak trades will propagate east in the medium range, and we may start to see more substantial surface warming of the East-Central Pacific soon as the climate system evolves towards #ElNiño.”
  3. Said it the other day, but I think “high-end” strong is going to be the floor with this event, with super prospects increasing @bluewave
  4. Evidence is growing for a very substantial El Niño event. Very few El Niño events of the last 45+ years have seen a record strong WWB like this and twin TC’s this early in the spring….
  5. IMO if this is a “high-end” strong to super (+2.0C) El Niño, it’s going to flip the PDO positive
  6. I’m starting to think strong is probably the floor with this event. Modeling has very significant “twin” TC development on both sides of the hemisphere
  7. This is going to cause a massive DWKW and a huge shift in the thermocline….
  8. Winter is over and has been over. It’s time to move on and enjoy life
  9. No, it really doesn’t….
  10. Once again, JB’s bombastic prediction of a huge return to deep winter, “delayed spring”, arctic cold and snowstorms in the east, from 3/15 through Easter Sunday looks to be a monumental, epic fail. I’m sure he will never acknowledge it and simply move on like it never even happened just like he does every year…..
  11. Once you get to 3/15, Mother Nature takes care of it for you within a couple of days or less….
  12. This winter in the NYC metro area (at least as far as snow is concerned) came to an end on 2/23 with the blizzard
  13. If the new EPS is correct, it’s going to get very warm again the 1st week of April
  14. EPS is projecting a TC or possibly a pair/twin TC’s to develop within the big WWB. What happens with those could be very important in terms of how strong this El Niño gets down the road…..
  15. I let my Pivotal subscription expire on 3/15
  16. It’s going to snow again in NYC….you’re just going to have to wait until December. It’ll be here before you know it……
  17. Worse. More like their version of 2001-02. The warmth out there has been off the charts
  18. Denver has been in a relentless, unmitigated torch fest since November and it’s still going strong. Record shattering for 5 months in a row out there
  19. This should be in banter. 300+ hours on an operational model run
  20. We have had a September sun angle since 3/13
×
×
  • Create New...