snowman19

The lone exception since mid-August. Literally every event has trended to less QPF for the last 7+ months. The drought/dry cycle continues….

Because the GFS sucks

61 here. Warmest it’s felt in the sun since mid-November

I can see a cooler April maybe but as far as the Mark Margavage and Joe Bastardi wishcasts that deep winter is coming back for the east, cold and snow the end of this month into April…….they need to put down their crack pipes…….

It’s been over since 2/20

We’ve already seen wildfires in Long Island and in New Jersey and it’s not even mid-March yet. Usually brush fire season doesn’t really get going until late March. If it doesn’t start raining a lot very soon we are going to have a very bad spring with wildfires galore. The disturbing part is, aside from last week’s rain event, everything since mid-August has trended way drier on guidance as we move closer in time. And we keep seeing high wind events….it’s been relentless since October

Shocker! Yet another stratospheric event that is going to fail to downwell and couple with the troposphere. Same old story for 5 months in a row now. The Joe Bastardi wishcasts/dreams of a big winter return late month are toast

Shocker! Yet another stratospheric event that is going to fail to downwell and couple with the troposphere. Same old story for the last 5 months in a row. The Joe Bastardi wishcasts/dreams of a big winter return late month are toast

It’s unstable as hell. There’s some serious cold air aloft, stratocumulus galore right now

It has literally found every way possible to avoid major snowstorms in the PHL-NYC-BOS corridor since the 2022-23 winter. Is it just simply just bad luck for the last 3 years or did something completely change synoptically with AGW?

@donsutherland1 I see Joe Bastardi is doing his usual yearly March, “spring is going to be delayed, deep winter is coming back in the east, major cold and major snow is just around the corner for 3/20-4/15” routine. As predictable as the rising sun…..

I’m letting my PivotalWeather subscription expire tomorrow. I’ll renew it again sometime in November like I normally do

Pacific air, +EPO, all rain. Winter ended on 2/20. Give it up, it’s over. RIP Winter 2024-25, over, done, gone, finished, history, dead, buried, in the cemetery, the fat lady has sung and gone home, say goodnight and goodbye, adios, it’s over Johnny, it’s dead Jim, bring down the curtain, stick a fork in it, a former winter….

JB has made himself irrelevant to everyone except the hard core east coast weenies. He’s a clown. No one in their right mind takes him seriously anymore and he did it to himself the last 15 years with the non stop snow and cold wishcasting….to the point of being completely delusional. He’s all about likes, views, clout, follows, retweets and subscription money. Literally every March, it’s the same BS every year, over and over again. “March Madness”, “delayed/faux/fake spring”, “winter isn’t over”, “analogs are 1888, 1958, 1993, 2014, 2015, 2018”, “SSWEs are coming”, “deep winter, cold and snow is coming back in the east from 3/20-4/15”, etc., any excuse to keep the weenies forking him over the dough for one last month. Wxbell makes all their snow/cold weenie money from November through March

@bluewave brought that up yesterday….with a +EPO/-PNA/+WPO the PAC air floodgates will be wide open and the -AO/-NAO will trap it underneath the blocks

So are we are going to see benchmark storms with 50 degrees and rain?

After what the abysmal GFS just pulled for this weekend, it could tell me the sky is blue and I wouldn’t believe it

While water restrictions are definitely a very serious concern, I think the bigger issue is the wildfires we saw in the fall starting up again. Mid-late March is when brush fire season gets going and we are still in the same dry/drought boat we were in back in the fall

Agreed. Winter ended on 2/20 with the overnight ULL light snow event. I think we’re very likely done with true arctic cold and accumulating snows until December

The “strat warm”/final warming is too little, too late. Game over. Before any impacts are even felt with the lag, if there are even any tropospheric impacts that is, since literally every stratospheric event in the last 5 months (since November) has failed to downwell and couple, we will be into astronomical spring at that point. I’m going to laugh if we see benchmark coastal lows with temps in the mid 40’s and rain come late March and early April lol Then again, it doesn’t rain anymore so…..

I don’t believe it’s going to couple with the troposphere….none of the stratospheric events in the last 5 months (since November) have and I’m not seeing any indications that this one will either. And even if it did, it’ll be spring. Maybe it mutes the warmup the 2nd half of March? But as far as it descending the east back into deep winter with arctic cold and mountains of snow from 3/20-4/15 like JB and Mark Margavage are wishcasting? Lmfaoooo

Maybe we can actually get a rain event to overperform for the 1st time since early August….

Reminiscent of the very early 2016 FW

I knew the second I saw JB hyping the weekend for a big I-95 snowstorm it was doomed