snowman19

If the projected summer global picture (cold-neutral “Nada” ENSO coming off a La Niña, -QBO, -PMM, -PDO, still elevated solar/geomag activity) continues into the fall, I have a feeling that the winter forecast is not going to be a cut and dry easy one at all, not that any of them ever really are, but this one may be exceptionally difficult

If the Copernicus is correct (-PDO, cold-neutral ENSO), it’s probably going to be a hot summer in the east, especially coming off a La Niña (“hangover”)….

FWIW, this is what the Copernicus is showing for this summer (continuation and strengthening of the marine heatwave in the NW Pacific/-PDO, cold-neutral ENSO, -PMM) also, a developing, descending -QBO:

Just read on facebook that salt trucks are out up in Pine Bush. Not really sure why, it’s above freezing, I can’t imagine any stickage on the roads, even up there

Becoming pretty confident that we do not see an El Niño. The PMM has become severely negative (cold water off of Baja). -PMM argues very strongly against Nino development. My best guess right now is La Nada/neutral and most likely cold-neutral

I’ll take “Things that definitely aren’t going to happen” for $1,000 Alex

JB, Mark Margavage and a several others on twitter

After all the SSWE hype the end of February and throughout March, the mid-March event failed to couple, as was the case with every other stratospheric wave reflection and stretching event that has occurred since November. The stratosphere and troposphere have remained totally uncoupled

After all the SSWE hype the end of February and throughout March, the mid-March event failed to couple, as was the case with every other stratospheric wave reflection and stretching event that has occurred since November. The stratosphere and troposphere have remained totally uncoupled

Try again in December. Game over been over

So much for the record breaking arctic cold, snowstorms and MLB games from Philly to NYC to Boston getting snowed out like JB was hyping last week….

This March was a total bust for a certain meteorologist from PA who hyped for weeks on end that it was going to be very cold and very snowy in the northeast. Even went so far as to say 1888, 1958, 1993, 2014, 2015 and 2018 were analogs. Couldn’t have possibly been more wrong….

One thing is for sure, the “pro” met who forecasted a cold and snowy March in the northeast and used 1888, 1958, 1993, 2014, 2015 and 2018 as his analogs failed massively. A monumental, epic bust

Already 69 degrees here in Sloatsburg under full sunshine. I don’t think we have any issue getting to 80, if not into the low 80’s within the next several hours. Westerly flow/sun/downsloping, compressional heating FTW here

Mark Margavage posted on twitter that because 0.1 of rain fell last night that it’s impossible that PA is going to see 80 degree temps today because of evaporational cooling. Total clown