snowman19

And not surprisingly, the EPS snow mean is anemic, even at 10:1 ratios. In order to do what the op EURO showed, for over a week out, since there is no cold, you would a perfectly placed, bombing low with strong enough UVV’s and very heavy precip rates to dynamically cool the column enough from aloft to get snow. Best of luck with that one

Oh you’re sure huh? Only a troll, like yourself would have said that

This does not look like an I-95 NYC/coastal snowstorm at all, like not even in the ballpark. The antecedent setup looks awful. Teleconnections (+NAO, +AO, +EPO, -PNA, +WPO, no 50/50 low) look awful, and it will be March. This isn’t March, 2018. Also, 850mb temps too warm going into it. This has far interior and elevated written all over it

Not surprisingly, the ensembles are backing way off on the possible snow event for next weekend. None of the teleconnections (+NAO, +AO, -PNA, +EPO, +WPO, no 50/50 Low) at any level are in favor of a coastal snowstorm….and 850mb temps going into it are going to be way too warm for snow. This is very likely going to be a far interior and elevated snow event. All rain, even for southern New England IMO

Here’s my response to Bluewave’s post about this (SSWE/FW) in the NYC forum: 1 hour ago “You bring up a very good point. Even if this SSWE was to occur, there are zero guarantees that it would even couple. None of the stratospheric displacements and wave reflection events this winter (since November) ever coupled with the troposphere, so why would this one? And even if it did, there is a lag from when this is projected to occur, that would bring us into the final week of March or the start of April before the impacts would be felt. Too little, too late. We will be into astronomical spring at that point and all that would do is piss off 90% of the members here when there’s a coastal storm and it’s in the 40’s and raining”

You bring up a very good point. Even if this SSWE was to occur, there are zero guarantees that it would even couple. None of the stratospheric displacements and wave reflection events this winter (since November) ever coupled with the troposphere, so why would this one? And even if it did, there is a lag from when this is projected to occur, that would bring us into the final week of March or the start of April before the impacts would be felt. Too little, too late. We will be into astronomical spring at that point and all that would do is piss off 90% of the members here when there’s a coastal storm and it’s in the 40’s and raining

The EURO-AI already completely lost it

Always at day 10+ isn’t it?

Did you know? NYC is the new Fort Kent, Maine. Snows till Memorial Day there

I also doubt another Nina, however I can see a cold-neutral/La Nada. As of right now, I don’t think we see a Nino, but it’s extremely early obviously

Yet another post day 10 east coast “snowstorm signal” that’s going to fall apart as we get closer in time? Color me shocked!!

March, 2012 was an off the charts torch a rama. The NYC metro hit 90 degrees a couple of days after St. Patrick’s Day that year

This is the first time since probably early November that the weeklies are warm throughout the entire run

@Allsnow @Bluewave

Yea. I think by the end of the 2nd week of March it’s over. Potential is there for temps to go way above normal by mid-March