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Metasequoia

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Everything posted by Metasequoia

  1. Metasequoia
    Let's stop calling off the storm before it happens...unless you are pining away for all snow, then it is over. That was never really a possibility. The latest HRRR is not a bad look for a real winter day for metro and LI north.
  2. Metasequoia
    Yea, not a good run for snow. Sleet will do though. Pretty close to being a soaker unfortunately.
  3. Metasequoia
    OZ Canadian actually looked better. Parent low was weaker and further south.
  4. Metasequoia
    Yup. This looks like how these types of systems play out for NYC south. Still 4 plus days out I guess...
  5. Metasequoia
    Still think this type of system favors northern areas for snow, but we are still 5 days away. That's plenty of time for a shift south or north for that matter.
  6. Metasequoia
    It seems like these overrunning storms don't result in much snow for NYC. Hudson Valley and New England do well...sometimes the Mid-Atlantic. Hopefully we all do well...if that's even possible with such a storm
  7. Metasequoia
    About 2 inches in Battery Park City on surfaces other than streets and sidewalks. Trees are covered. Good to keep expectations in check...nice modest snowfall.
  8. Metasequoia
    Sidewalks are also finally getting covered in lower Manhattan. Quite beautiful with all the trees covered. It's nice to have a snowfall beat expectations.
  9. Metasequoia
    Moderate snow in southern Manhattan. All paved surfaces are wet, but everything else is covered. Not that there is much grass or soil for snow to accumulate on, but whatever. Better than I expected.
  10. Metasequoia
    I'm keeping my expectations in check for Manhattan where I live. You are in a much better position though.
  11. Metasequoia
    I just doubt the ground will be cold enough on Sunday and the snow heavy enough to accumulate much if at all in NYC. If the low strengthens more than expected and/or tracks further NW, that might make a difference.
  12. Metasequoia
    Mid to upper 50s on Saturday, so mostly white rain in NYC. Grass and cartops elsewhere?
  13. Metasequoia
    I prefer snow, but I like a good sleetstorm. It's like really low ratio snow...which will do. The 2017 half foot sleetstorm in NYC was epic.
  14. Metasequoia
    Pretty nice look and the low is only at 998 mb.
  15. Metasequoia
    Snow and wind are gradually increasing in intensity in lower Manhattan. Sidewalks are covered and sidestreets are mostly covered.
  16. Metasequoia
    I think it's a couple hours earlier than the NWS forecasted. Others feel free to correct me.
  17. Metasequoia
    Almost unbelievable.
  18. Metasequoia
    It's all about expectations of course. This isn't the last model surprise. NOAA's forecast for New England might just verify in the end.
  19. Metasequoia
    NE folks were hoping for a record breaking storm, so I guess 12 to 18 inches seems lame to them.
  20. Metasequoia
    Where do I sign?
  21. Metasequoia
    So the Euro shaved a couple of inches off on this last run. Still a nice hit for the metro and east. EDIT - Also good to the south.
  22. Metasequoia
    So, when should we ditch global models and pay attention to the medium and short range models?
  23. Metasequoia
    12 UKIE
  24. Metasequoia
    Almost time to use the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Page SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis (noaa.gov)
  25. Metasequoia
    I just doubt the weather models can accurately forecast the placement of the surface low or lows for this dynamic of a storm to our preferred tolerances. Classic now cast storm. It's going to snow pretty good regardless.
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