Metasequoia
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Everything posted by Metasequoia
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...and eventually less snow. Not that anyone on this forum cares about that...
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Canadian has something interesting during this time frame. Storm signal on multiple models.
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That ULL looks so close to phasing on the NAM.
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Yeah, seems like modeling has improved a lot in 14 years.
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2nd eps panel
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A compromise between the Euro and Ukie would make everyone happy.
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Doesn't look like the models have lost it or neccearilly are about to. They all show a potent snowstorm for the midatlantic with varying tracks... giving warning level snow for the metro.
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As SeyMourSnow (NE forum) says... DC to Philly does really well with many of the differing storm evolutions. I think NYC does well too... maybe not as consistently, though. Kinda reminds me of the 2016 blizzard four days out.
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Post hour 135 woild be telling, yeah?
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Yeah... about perfect. Has that slow moving firehose off the Atlantic. Of course, wouldn't mind a 50 plus mile shift southeast though.
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12Z Ukie courtesy of Rjay from the subforum next door.
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CMC depicts a storm riding up the coast, but the pressure isn't that low. Interesting...
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Want the CMC to be a bit flatter...
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Models have been consistently showing a storm around this time-frame for several days now. Still six or so days away though.
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A storm during the time-frame has been consistently showing up in models for days. Fairly good model to model and run to run consistency for a long-term threat.
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Looks like parts of NYC might see a break in the snow for a bit. Although the snow looks to be developing in central and eastern PA, which will fill in soon after.
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Looks like the RGEM and HRRR did well. What others over performed?
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Just started sleeting near the Battery.
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If Cranky... er Content Weatherguy says cut the snow forecast due to sleet, it's a real possibility. He's decent at forecasting winterstorms. I prefer snow, but sleet works.
