
KeithB
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Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?
KeithB replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Because , for whatever reason I do not know, it RARELY changes for the better these days when it comes to snow -
Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?
KeithB replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nothing new. Same shit again and again and again. Either it amps and is mainly a rain event, or it's suppressed and south of us or out to sea. On the rare instance things work out, there is NEVER downstream blocking anymore for god knows what reason, and it becomes a 6 hour progressive event with 3 to 6 inches. Feels impossible to get a 12+ inch event here and there like the good old days. I really am at a stage of almost giving up -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
KeithB replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Just measured exactly 9 inches on my deck. Central Rockland County -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
KeithB replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Im a nervous wreck about it. That said, all the other models on the same page (ish) does carry more weight then the EURO alone on an island. But I am scared as the EURO is arguably the best of them all -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
KeithB replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
I totally agree with you. Many people on here love to rail against TWC as they used to be awful...and due to their built in biases about what it used to be, are unwillingly to accept their improvements -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
KeithB replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Would be something if this storm winds up suppressed -
Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
KeithB replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
GOGOGO- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
KeithB replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
2.6 inches on the ground and snowing moderately in central rockland county. How am I supposed to measure this exactly as to avoid packing? Do I wait for let's say 3 inches, and then clear it, and then start anew and just add it?- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
KeithB replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Soon!- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
KeithB replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I have storm chased before....but personally, I would wait until an 18+ type storm is gonna hit the chase area. I've done Monticello, Albany, North Conway NH, and western Mass. But I recommend a hotel and not your car- 3,610 replies
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And it was also following every run of every model improving from their previous run...and the first one up of the 12z suite. So at that moment in time, although likely overblown, seemed to be an additional indicator of much more improvement
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Well...ever since the crappy 00z GFS run last night, every model run of every model since then, has showed continued improvement
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I think this is spot on. as much as I am hoping Rockland county sees, let's say 8+ (and yes, that chance is in play), in reality, it's very high % going to be exactly as you just stated
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How good? and how is the 12z NAM looking?
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I bet he always thinks the stock markets going to go down too I know these pessimistic types