EastonSN+

Borrowed from the New England forum

Close up.

Still if it's the least snowy model that's not bad. If it comes in heavy enough it will accumulate the city could get one to three.

Euro snow map pasted it in New England forum. Looks really good. Central Park 2 inches and 2 inch line kind of goes through Long Island.

Stats padder.

Snowstorm Caboose is a new one. Phase 8 induced snowstorm Caboose.

The Delmarva has been a magnet all season long except for the one storm that targeted Florida with the heaviest snow (never thought I'd ever say that).

Difference is this is not a slow monster pushing against confluence. In this case there is a kicker storm pushing the flow therefore it doesn't have a chance to push North. So a little bit different than situations like 2003 and 96.

Canadian took a step back.

This is exactly why I don't understand it's like the topic is avoided for whatever reason.

Amazing hit on the GFS for the Delmarva. What a winter for them. Let's see if it holds.

Actually liking this weekend for a light to moderate thump more than the 20th (closer and no suppression risk).

@LibertyBell lol still waiting.

The 6z Euro snowfall map has been posted in New England forum in case anyone's interested. Has one inch in Central Park. Eastern Long Island on a North shore gets 2 inches. CT shoreline is three to five. Westchester county approximate two to four.

Good analysis from Tip.

LOL I raised this topic a dozen times in the subform looking for anybody to opine. You are the only one to acknowledge that it was ever spoken like it was some kind of voodoo, or the answer is too dangerous for us to know. I keep saying the Indian Ocean is rising in temperatures so we should see an increase in phases 1 and 2 which in the heart of Winter are very cold phases. This is likely why January was so frigid because it was a high amplitude phase 1 and phase 2. That's Indian ocean temperatures. That being said we thought the Indonesian high water temps would lead to a semi-permanent 456 phases however that has not been the case at all this winter.

I actually envy Long Island during the big coastals as the northerly wind in northeasterly wind cause snowfall to be a little more intense due to the sound.

To any/all in the subforum. Don't want to keep breaching this topic, however, just need any explanation from anyone on what the differences are between this depiction where the SE ridge is NOT linking to the NAO compared to the instances BlueWave pointed out where it is. What do I look out for to tell the difference? Maybe Bluewave and Brooklyn agree on an independent 3rd party meteorologist to provide an opinion. Such opinion would be binding in the absence of manifest error.

Completely agree when you run the animation on the op runs you see the confluence rotating down from the Northeast right as a storm approaches. Have to hope that's a bit weaker in the storm a bit more ampt.

Just a couple years too late LOL. I believe that was a good spot for 1978 as well and of course Nemo. Three of the best storms in history for that area. They did pretty good in that bust of a storm in 2015 was over a foot there.

I am usually positive thinking however not feeling good on 2/19 to 2/22. The confluence is strong.

Barrier island so water east south and west.

Thanks for these. Always hard to tell if would be that different today.

I think there's two points being discussed. The storm track is the issue where it's cold and dry warm and wet 1980s style. There is another point about it being too warm suddenly which I think is where the debate is lying where some are saying we're losing out on gradient storms because it's getting warmer but yet people are seeing snowfall on the beaches of the Gulf of Mexico. I am not saying this myself but some may be saying if we are suddenly too warm on a gradient why isn't New Orleans or Washington DC too warm for a gradient. I think as Blue Wave mentioned we have a current fast flow which favors weak waves to the South and amped up waves to the lakes which would explain what's going on the best. This will change at some point hopefully soon and we'll get storms like we used to but who knows how long we have to wait.

That's not the case Ocean City Maryland got destroyed this year. Literally pictures of snow accumulation on the beach.