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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. Decembah to remembah replaced with facked till Feb
  2. Agreed. Hopefully if GFS is right it's at that low amplification.
  3. My poor gutters. Let's keep chipping away at the snow average inch by inch.
  4. Yeah it's not cool at all. However firmly believe this will not be as bad as last year following the approx 2 bad week period.
  5. Huge gradient last year it seems. In SW Coastal CT we had 22, 8 below the 30 to 35 average range.
  6. The mild up time would be when the EPO goes positive and PNA goes negative. If the below is correct.
  7. Haha. I remember the discussion last year about November snows killing winter. Worked for us in 2002 and 1995 and 2012. Worked against us in 1989 2011 and last year.
  8. Don't get me wrong. I think we mild up for a couple weeks, however not lose 3 months like last year.
  9. Another positive. MJO is staying in better phases longer and bad phases in lower amplification.
  10. Honestly I feel much better about this winter as compared to last due to appearance of an NAO and AO in the negative phases. Also the negative EpO is fairly static. Not expecting an epic winter like 2013 2014, however this winter is already looking better than last. I think an average snowfall winter is in store. Last year was relatively close to average.
  11. 2013 2014 was the polar vortex attack. 2014 2015 was the winter that started in mid January, had the blizzard debacle where EURO showed 36 and we got 6 to 12 and we all had an epic March.
  12. I think there was a huge gradient from SE to nw. In SW Coastal CT it was the 3rd snowiest winter of the 2000s. Only one storm changed over to rain and still dropped 13.5 inches of snow. Think that storm was Jan.
  13. Even if it DID go into the bad phases, we have scored many times in horrible patterns like the Feb 18 storm. This year we have seen a pre March negative NAO, an MJO that slows in the good phases and an Arctic outbreak in Nov (which seems annual). All good things. 2.5 inches from last storm. Feel somewhat good about this winter being average to slightly above average snowfall.
  14. I would sign up for either in a heartbeat. Amazing the difference in a small area. 2013 2014 was the 2nd snowiest winter in SW CT of the 2000s
  15. Perhaps we are following last year's script with an early season snowfall followed by a bad period. Fits the MJO progression.
  16. Yeah, don't like that it trended towards CMC and EURO. Would be just another cold rain here.
  17. To my untrained eye, the track is somewhat similar to Feb 9 and 10 2010.
  18. Yep. Disappointing given the teleconnections.
  19. Accurate map. I am in that yellow 8 to 10 blob in SW CT.
  20. Looks good. For Easton 10 inches in the last storm and 9.5 this one. Ready for spring unless the next is a blizzard! What did Bridgeport report?
  21. Central CT missed out to the bands east and west. But you guys will probably jackpot on the next storm.
  22. You guys will get it the next storm. Deform bands are fickle.
  23. Same happened here. Once I reached 9.5 it was compacting and melting faster than it was accumulating. It was snowing moderately and I went from 9.5 to 8 in one hour.
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