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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. Alaska is warm in my screen shot. SE ridge is there but mitigated. Will definitely be cold nearby.
  2. I find this time period interesting. Negative EPO and Negative NAO fighting the negative PNA.
  3. First wave maxes out to the south. Then the main storm comes in and it's lighter and flips quick.
  4. I have seen this before, first burst comes in then looses steam and next burst is less and quick to sleet. I believe there was a good example which cause Philly to get 8 during a football game and we ended up with 1 to 3.
  5. FV3 has first batch of 3 to 6 from NYC to just south of Philly. Slides off coast then ice comes in. North of there 1 to 3 then ice.
  6. I do not know if you agree, but I feel that we may be heading back to the December pattern. I believe the MJO was in 6 then as well with a negative PNA. What I find interesting is it seems people are contributing the negatives AO and nao to the SSWE. However, we had a negative NAO in December before the SSWE. Perhaps we get one more crack with the December pattern revisit.
  7. Watch the v.16 be way more consistent run to run than any other model. Even took EURO to the woodshed during the blizzard
  8. We don't hate it. For me I just want the plain truth with no bias to warm cold rainy or snowy. I think you are doing just that stating what you see.
  9. Looks like we get more snow from Thursday storm on 12z euro than 0z.
  10. Oh I hope. My go to model is GFS v.16 it absolutely nailed the blizzard and follow up storm.
  11. GFS v.16 has been steady as a rock. Absolutely no point in using the old version.
  12. This winter is a win already with getting to average. However it looks like I may have seen my last inch of snow looking at the LR guidance after 2 days ago it looked like deep winter into March. The way it ended is what bothers me. So abruptly.
  13. Couple things I learned were not true. Long periods of blocking do not always end in a good snowstorm. Models sometimes are correct in rushing the break down of a pattern. I am all for melting and warmer weather. However I still want 6 more to get to 40.
  14. We did get a 4 inch event. Not sure if it was late Feb or March that year.
  15. I really really hope CMC is off its rocker. With my snowpack and iced gutters gonna be some problems.
  16. Do you think if the Tuesday system cuts a little west and amps up, it will increase the chances of snow for Friday and it could block the Friday system from cutting west? Maybe that's why although Tuesdays system is trending wetter, Fridays system is trending a little whiter.
  17. You know someone is going to state "delayed but not denied"
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