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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    My bad did not play video first. Only saw first image. However doesn't the ensembles follow the op at this range anyway?
  2. EastonSN+
    That looks well north of the op. However doesn't the ensemble usually follow the op at this range?
  3. EastonSN+
    Bad memories my friend.
  4. EastonSN+
    Mine was 1996. 27 inch long duration megalopolis storm.
  5. EastonSN+
    My 2nd favorite storm of all time and I missed the jackpot by 10 miles (got 22 instead of 35). The storm was FLYING NE before the western system merged and expended the precip shield, I believe it also caused the low to "wobble"
  6. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don, Hopefully this is not just a repeat of last year, and we circle back to the 7 8 1 MJO phases quicker to save January.
  7. EastonSN+
    Yeah, don't like that it trended towards CMC and EURO. Would be just another cold rain here.
  8. EastonSN+
    To my untrained eye, the track is somewhat similar to Feb 9 and 10 2010.
  9. EastonSN+
    They look a little worse this morning IMO
  10. EastonSN+
    Out of curiosity, was 2013 2014 a positive AO NAO year, with all our success based on an east based negative EPO? Not suggesting same for this year but could the EPO save us again to some extent? The EPS above looks a little better in that regard.
  11. EastonSN+
    I guess that's the beauty of living in a relatively low snowfall area (say as compared to Central and norther NE and NY), we can reach average snowfall with a couple lucky large storms (15/16, 05/06). Last year was an almost perfect 80s throwback winter with frigid temps following warm up and rain events.
  12. EastonSN+
    At least this winter is not teasing us like last. The weeklies continuously showed a great pattern that did not arrive till March.
  13. EastonSN+
    Funny thing is, if that early December snowstorm came up the coast last year we could have had an average snowfall winter. All in all a repeat of last year with a bit more luck and not bad at all.
  14. EastonSN+
    PNA. NAO going positive. AO going positive. We may have a warm window before winter returns.
  15. EastonSN+
  16. EastonSN+
    Hopefully just a blip.
  17. EastonSN+
    41 rain
  18. EastonSN+
  19. EastonSN+
    Epo looks nice in extended. I guess the negative PNA means west coast Dump
  20. EastonSN+
    Hope we score before the projected AO flip.
  21. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don, The interesting part of last year was early December. If that southern slider moved north and dropped 8 we would have had an average snowfall winter with all the dispair, then looking back in the record books last year would have not called attention as a sub par winter. This year looks suppressive again, however we may have better luck when the NAO transitionions from negative to positive.
  22. EastonSN+
    Hey Don, I see the progression similarities to last year, however the MJO forecasts last year showed the progression to the warm phases while this year has it looping back to the cold phases. Couldn't this year be different? Are all the background enso and stratospheric the same as last year? I am trying to learn why Bluewave and all believe we are going to follow last year to a t? Many thanks
  23. EastonSN+
    That combined with the positive PNA would help push the cold a bit further east. I get that a negative EPO alone could be cutter city 80s style. So if we loose the NAO the PNA is critical.
  24. EastonSN+
    Looks like we loose NAO, however PNA looks to go positive at same time. That would help with SE ridge.
  25. EastonSN+
    Negative EPO really starting to show up on charts. Hope NAO returns.
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