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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    I would take an RNA again if we get the negative NAO (and the PNA is not negative in record levels)
  2. EastonSN+
    The GEFS looks great. I do not have the EPS past 240 does it also have the same good look?
  3. EastonSN+
    Found this online for MJO phase 7 on Feb. Not sure if this is a good look temp wise but would imagine nothing would cut. Perhaps dry.
  4. EastonSN+
    I wonder, with the NAO we had if the PNA was just a little less negative if we would have had average to above average snowfall for December. I would roll the dice with another negative PNA NAO combo in February (say -1.5).
  5. EastonSN+
    What about last Feb?
  6. EastonSN+
    Meh on to the next one (hopefully).
  7. EastonSN+
    Northwest yeah. SW areas have been doing awesome last decade!
  8. EastonSN+
    Seems like they are leaning away from the amped/west track and more weaker offshore.
  9. EastonSN+
    We are due.
  10. EastonSN+
    Yup. Can happen as the models depicted. I chose Dec. 2000 given the progressive nature of the system, transfer from inland primary and ultimate track over eastern LI. Of course we could flip to rain or more likely dry slot, but I would gladly take 2 to 4 on the front end.
  11. EastonSN+
    December 2000. Obviously more blocking but high and tight track with no changeover.
  12. EastonSN+
  13. EastonSN+
    Thanks Walt. Interesting to see both the EURO and CMC show 4 to 10 inch accumulations in the tri state despite the low essentially riding the coast into LI. Even with the track the majority of the Tri state stays snow on both models. I think that last storm to produce that much snow with that type of coastal running track was December 30 2000 (just in track not intensity or speed).
  14. EastonSN+
    I am a very very cheerful optimistic person but.... Tomorrow will miss JUST to the south. This storm will Trend to be good for only ski county. Trough too far east in LR and we are cold and dry. Trough breaks down and we torch. But I am keeping positive outlook.
  15. EastonSN+
    Close for comfort for us coasties but trended better from 0z.
  16. EastonSN+
    Thought it was a little more NW but not much.
  17. EastonSN+
    I hope the EPS is correct as the GEFS 6z was much warmer, less of a east coast trough.
  18. EastonSN+
    Goes to show how massive NYC is. Hopefully there is enough time for this to come further north
  19. EastonSN+
    You were spot on with the upcoming pattern change.
  20. EastonSN+
    A little too tucked for comfort but glad to see something to track.
  21. EastonSN+
    CMC is a weak miss to the south.
  22. EastonSN+
    It's an Ocean City MD winter! They get hit by both systems.
  23. EastonSN+
    Exactly. That is definitely a cold dry look, but as you said when it lifts out we will get overrunning snows.
  24. EastonSN+
    One more tick to get SNE back in the game!
  25. EastonSN+
    Plus a good March typically.
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