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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Rare Staten Island beating the Bronx setup may be occurring if this depiction comes to fruition.
  2. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don. The last storm where CPK was at 37 while north, south, LI and CT stations had 34 at the onset of the precip shook me.
  3. EastonSN+
    Would be interesting if we do have solid evidence, however wouldn't the catalyst be deeper west coast troughing?
  4. EastonSN+
    SW CT is in that range too FWIW.
  5. EastonSN+
    SLIGHT bump south on the RGEM.
  6. EastonSN+
    True, however when comparing say the 1980s snowfall to today for CPK, we have to add a caveat that the HEI has a greater influence than before. For me personally, I was comparing 1970 through 1999 CPK yearly snowfall to the period commencing 2018/2019 to today. I feel I can no longer do so as any drop in average would be mainly due to the increasing HIE.
  7. EastonSN+
    What is really unfortunate is the fact that the HEI is more extreme than ever, therefore CPK is no longer a good central benchmark for the tri state area and IMO can no longer be leveraged when comparing past snowfall to today.
  8. EastonSN+
    When the precip started even the central Jersey shore was 34 degrees while Manhattan was showing 37 so yeah definitely was the HIE.
  9. EastonSN+
    Agreed. I am not seeing much NW movement of the models, just movement of the heaviest snow which unfortunately is a fairly narrow band.
  10. EastonSN+
    This time the cold air will be in place. The other storm the cold air was coming in after the precipitation started.
  11. EastonSN+
  12. EastonSN+
    Definitely the best model output for here in SW CT. However I believe its still the most northern solution of the major models.
  13. EastonSN+
  14. EastonSN+
    Is there a site we can see the NBM?
  15. EastonSN+
    The SE Ridge linking to the -NAO has always occured, however a MET previously stated that we will still snow if we have a 50/50 low present. Likely what happened a lot 1970 through 1989.
  16. EastonSN+
    We needed that.
  17. EastonSN+
  18. EastonSN+
    Talk about cold incoming.
  19. EastonSN+
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  23. EastonSN+
    GFS is a touch south
  24. EastonSN+
    Decent snow now temps dropped to 34.3 in Easton.
  25. EastonSN+
    The old days have been back since 2018. 2019 till now is a reflection of 1970 through 1999. Although 25 of the 30 winters had below average snowfall we did get great snowstorms in 1978, 1983, 1993, 1994 and 1996.
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