EastonSN+

At this point I would take 1 to 2 inches to heavy rain to pad the "stats". However not even sure about that

Euro looks like sh@$ for South coast.

You would think ONE storm would get us

Wasnt 90 an absolute furnace though? I may have years mixed up.

Yeah they have it in for wxfella today. Kind of like that world series when they got after Boston. Brutal ws as I am a Yankee fan.

Gooden Strawberry. Mister Met. Etc....

What I am amazed about is how bad our snow totals are. 2011 2012 the pattern was far worse but I had more snow to this point than this year! Only 97/98 and 01/02 worse. I wonder if March will save us again as it did last year. We can't go out like that.

Eh. In the 80s and early 90s we had horrific winters with good Marches. Some areas like here had more snow already this year than last. Last year March delivered big time. Would not be shocked if we get another light to moderate event in March. Feb. Looks bad.

Ha. How dare you. You do realize that in the Renaissance the globe was so warm they were able to grow grapes in England without issue. Our winters were probably full of perfect beach going days. Dont get me started on 1,000,000 BC.

Last year was the only below average winter for SW CT since 2011/2012 and only the 5th this century. Helps that the average range is only 30 to 35. This winter will most likely be the 6th. So SW CT really had it good. Only complaint would be 7 inches received in Juno while you guys raked.

15/16 was average. 16/17 and 17/18 were above average. Last year was below average and this year a disaster.

It's odd but the GEPS seemed to have the SE ridge and RNA positioned correct while the GEFS has this more favorable. I say correct as from what I am hearing the EPS does not look too hot. Probably why the GFS still shows fantasy snows while non existent on the EURO and CMC. In any event great update by Isotherm.

I am tuning back in for March. Same as last year.

Thanks you have been spot on accurate with winter along with Bluewave and Isotherm. Even though there are some differences to last year, the results are largely the same. March always holds promise due to shortening wavelengths so I have not given up on something happening. I know some have predicted a favorable NAO helping to offset the Pacific, however if the ensembles are correct it's not happening soon. I would be excited big I resided in upstate New York or northern New England due to gradient.

Maybe you can talk me off the ledge, however for southern New England we are starring at a strongly positive AO, trending positive NAO, trending negative PNA and an MJO that is stuck in the warm phases. Northern New England can do fine with this type of gradient, however with the resulting SE ridge showing up on the GEFS and GEPS I can definitely see where SNE is on the wrong side of the gradient. What mechanism can overcome this? The only thing I can think of is a deeply negative well positioned EPO ridge. Possible? Yes but likely? I am not sure as I am not a met. I hope so.

Just looked at the CFS monthlies. March is gonna rock! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=nhem&pkg=z500a

It's really fascinating how every pattern we have seen have been non conducive for snowfall in our region. We cannot catch a break.

Not liking the latest MJO plot for GEFS. Goes into cod and re emerges in 3 or 4. Would not be surprised given how winter has gone.

Thanks. Gradient can work great for our area.

Did the weeklies come out?

Hell I get amped for snow monster.

Yes great station and weather team.

Took from another thread. Disclaimer - for discussion purposes only. This does not reflect my view or constitute "trolling". This should not be viewed as a measure to stoke a negative response from the audience.

I think Ray's forecast was for PAC to remain hostile with a better Atlantic. Seems to follow what the GEFS is showing.

Thanks. The lastest GEM and EURO actually miss the area entirely with the storm. Had enough rain already though.