I think it runs in cycles. Seems to be a 30 year below average snowfall cycle to 20 year above average. If I am not mistaken 1920 to 1950 were not particularly snowy. 1950 to 1970 were very snowy and 1970 to 2000 were not too snowy. Of course the last 20 years may have been snowiest.
I just looked at the historic NYC snowfall records and am shocked how bad 1970 through 2000 actually we're.
ONLY 3 above average snowfall winters in 30 years!
Makes this 2 year below average run look great.
I am guilty of that and still do so. My personal definition:
<33% of lower average rage = ratter (98,02)
>=33% <50% Terrible (95,12,97,99)
>=50%<67% Bad (00,07,08)
>=67%<100 disappointing (19)
GEFS looses the EPO and warms us all in LR. A win in my book.
GEPS actually gives SNE a good look with more troughing in the East in LR. A win in my book
Do not see the EPS past 10. No idea which camp it goes in.
There must be at least ONE more snow event in SNE this winter. Maybe March with a bowling ball? If not I hope it torches.
I take it as a learning experience. The CFS weeklies just flipped to warm throughout overnight. Weeklies are basically useless, and my take away is to ignore them moving forward.
Also positive winter flips like 2015 and 2007 are relatively rare, and I should not look for one during every winter that starts bad.
Funny but this winter makes 2011 2012 look epic.