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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    I never really understood what "winter is over" really means. We've had snow in a sea of warmth like March 2016, Feb 2018, January 2012. Heck the book about the 1888 blizzard talked about an early spring and early flower growth before the storm (probably late season severe blocking occured). Even if we go ++++AO NAO EPO mega RNA it doesn't mean there is NO SHOT of winter weather or a late return.
  2. EastonSN+
    Thanks for this. Amazing the difference a small distance makes. I have had at least 75% snow coverage since our first snowfall in January.
  3. EastonSN+
    Mentioned in another post before, however the fact that the air mass is much cooler than 2018 may lead to quicker results. I remember the first storm was a bit too warm for snow as we were heading out of the February furnace. This year's constant -EPO may lead to a quicker snowier outcome if this does indeed occur.
  4. EastonSN+
    Thanks! Hopefully we do not go dry during this time.
  5. EastonSN+
    Everyone has their own personal definition of what makes a good winter. For me it's a game to reach average annual snowfall. At 50% now. Hoping to make it.
  6. EastonSN+
    Honestly the next 2 weeks look cold. Just worried about the dryness of the current models. Nothing is worse than cold and dry. Perhaps this is a pattern where something will pop up short term.
  7. EastonSN+
    How does the EPS look days 10 to 15.
  8. EastonSN+
    That GFS run got me real angry. Cold Dry Warm Wet.
  9. EastonSN+
    That GFS run got me real angry. Cold dry warm wet.
  10. EastonSN+
    This would hurt
  11. EastonSN+
    This would hurt
  12. EastonSN+
    This is the one constant this year, negative EPO for most of the winter.
  13. EastonSN+
    What is also amazing on a side note, historic winter for Ocean City MD up through coastal NJ. Wow.
  14. EastonSN+
    This is awesome thanks!
  15. EastonSN+
    That week 2 forecast does indeed look like a "torch". I guess impossible to forecast if that is static or a temporary 1 to 2 week "flip".
  16. EastonSN+
    Forgot to mention the FORGOTTEN SNOWSTORM. March 2011 we had one however was only 4 to 6. Forgotten as everyone said that winter ended on Feb 1.
  17. EastonSN+
    Seems to be what Don was alluding to, muted MJO so lower influence.
  18. EastonSN+
    Thanks. Seems the EPS is the quickest to bring back the ridge. Statistically, isn't it common to have a negative NAO return by the end of March flowing a December appearance? May be a la Nina thing.
  19. EastonSN+
    Agree! It's just odd we seem to be not getting heavy snowfalls from these anymore. Feels like we had a lot 2000 through 2009.
  20. EastonSN+
    When was the last time we had a heavy snowfall from an overrunning event? 2003 was the ultimate example. Maybe November 2018? Seems to be going extinct like the Alberta clipper did.
  21. EastonSN+
    Thanks the GEPS looks similar but a wider trough (possibly due to member spread). Hate to ask but was the EPS similar?
  22. EastonSN+
    Hadley cell back at the end of the EPS run?
  23. EastonSN+
    Thanks, it actually starts to move towards GEPS at the end with the East Coast ridge. Obviously cannot tell if it's a temporary reload or the change that the Mets are alluding to.
  24. EastonSN+
    GEFS and EPS lining up nicely LR GEPS is below but outlier
  25. EastonSN+
    Anyone have the 12z eps hour 360?
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