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About EastonSN+
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KBDR
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Easton CT
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
EastonSN+ replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
True, however seen many storms start out 34 and wet bulb downward (March 2019). I think generally 2021/2022 is a good blueprint on how to succeed. Perhaps 17/18 is a better example given the historically warm February that included a snow storm in that same timeframe. Even Raleigh NC still gets snow, albeit less often. I get that 1977 is highly unlikely if not impossible, however I hold out hope that we can still at the very least least match the 1970 to 1999 snowfall average with this new set-up. Yeah warming will eventually win out, unless a successful environmental engineering endeavor remedies the issue beforehand. -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
EastonSN+ replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I personally hate the cold, give me 32 and heavy snow. -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
EastonSN+ replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah. I have not heard anyone say it's not warmer out. I think the argument is more about whether stronger storms, and therefore higher snowfall events, can compensate for shorter seasons/less events. That is still open for debate. We are still in line, strictly snowfall average wise, with 1970 through 1999 (comparing 2020/2021 to now). Amazing to think that period had only 4 above average snowfall years in a 30 year stretch despite the frigid 70s, however larger events....... -
This will likely be Central Park's 3rd below average snowfall winter in a row. The longest streak I could find was 10 consecutive years from 84/85 to 92/93. Most recent 96/97 through 99/00 (4 years).
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Western IO temps are rising fast which could create longer/stronger forcing in phases 1 and 2.
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I honestly do not remember the temp profile of 03/04.
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Looking at the MJO, looks like a pretty high amplitude wave in phases 2 and 3. Hopefully moved on so we finally have a warm April.
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Agree 100%. I look at 13/14 as a shorter duration, higher snowfall slightly warmer version of 93/94. The next time we have a similar setup we will likely compare to 13/14 and see the same differences.
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Here is the location monthlyseasonalsnowfall (1) (4)(1).pdf
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Blizzard of 96 also had this (heavy snow in the teens). This was one my my 3 lifetime 20 plus events. 1996 - 27 inches. 2013 - 22 inches. 2006 - 20.5 inches.
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One thing I always do is look at the previous dips in the presented period. It had not dipped below that threshold. Perhaps the predicted SSW never materialized or coupled like it was expected to.
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I remember someone posted that there is a difference between a true NAO block and an "atmospheric furnace" resulting from an RNA pattern. Basically bootleg.
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100 percent agree. The same happened after the 55 through 69 epic period, which lead to the 30 year period where CPK only exceeded average 4 times (which is mind boggling when thinking about it - 4 above average snowfall winters in 30 years). I am personally going to compare this decade to the 1980s, which averaged 19.74.
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Believe it or not our area was above 10 inches in 11/12 (when you factor in the October snowstorm). 11.5 was my total.