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.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 205 PM Wednesday...
By Friday morning, the cold front should have moved east and
offshore of the Carolinas, so the bulk of the rain will have also
moved east, but there will still be leftover showers with the upper
trough moving through. Kept chance pops generally from Raleigh to
the north and east, with areas to the north of Raleigh still having
a slight chance of showers into the afternoon. Friday will be
another windy day because of a tight pressure gradient, with wind
gusts ranging from 30 mph across the Triad to 40 mph in the
southeast across Sampson County.
There will be a brief break in rain Friday night, but an upper level
shortwave should bring a chance of showers Saturday afternoon across
the Triad and most of the area Saturday night. Temperatures still
look very marginal for supporting snow, and even if there were a few
snowflakes, the ground should remain too warm to allow any snow to
stick. High pressure will yield another short period of dry weather
Sunday, Sunday night, and Monday morning. After that, low pressure
will move over New England, dragging a cold front across the region.
Behind the cold front, high pressure will attempt to build in from
the north, but models are on the fence as to how far south the front
will drop before coming stationary. Have continued chance pops
Monday night through Wednesday.