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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. If they both move NW then its game on. I just feel like we will get a south east trend last minute or maybe we get a 2010 miracle.
  2. Fully expecting for the NAM to cave to the gfs next run. I'm still think we get a 4-8 type storm which would be a decent thump and a good way to start the season.
  3. Looks like the NAM closes off the low and is tucked. Likely the NAM being the NAM. The 6z GFS did tick a slight bit west but looks nothing like the NAM. Maybe the NAM steals a victory but no other guidance looks like this. Still time for things to change and we've seen now casting where a low ends up 50 miles west or east of the major models.
  4. Its almost like its the same script everytime. We start to see some promising trends for a suite of two and then boom it disappears. Look we even have a NAMing
  5. Glad I was sleeping during that debacle of a game. The EPS moved in our favor atleast. Maybe we do sneak out another 6-8 type storm which would anybody complain even if out east they get 12-18? Our time will come but this storm is not it.
  6. I'm betting that when I wake up at 2AM at work that I will see some good trends on the models. Just a feeling. 18z euro tells me to **** off and enjoy the 2016 cutoff
  7. 18z gfs is better than the 12z. That would be a good trend if it could continue. I'm at work so can't really check to see why it is. Verbatim shows around 4-6 type.
  8. NAM has ticked east. Let's hope for an overperformer but this isn't our storm.
  9. EURO ensemble mean is not terrible. Pretty close to a 6-8 type which lets be honest if we start with almost 20 inches in December then we could be pretty happy with the season so far.
  10. This has a Jan 2016 feel to it. I just know the cutoff is gonna be basically AGH county line. Seen it far too often.
  11. Both storms look to miss to the SE next week. Is the second one correct? According to the NAM the HP retreats a little bit and allows the LP to be tucked. Gfs is not a fan. Is this sampled at all yet?
  12. Gfs went east. Still time for big changes but as of now the trend is not our friend. I'm just glad we got an early season surprise. Now let's get one really good storm this year.
  13. I think many would be happy with 12-16inches even if out east they get 2ft+
  14. Looks like a fringe job to me. Hope I'm wrong but we know how this goes.
  15. Well WTAE is the first to post their winter forecast. They went with above average Temps every month, 30-38 inches of snowfall with it being possible to see more depending on lake effect and if we get colder Temps. So basically the usual mix line is through the county.
  16. I've saved up all of my bitching for this exact thing. I'm sure we will get screwed somehow.
  17. One thing we don't get to see back home is storm clouds like this. This was a pretty intense storm the other day in the Outer Banks.
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