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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    Well let's see if the other models pick up on this trend. If they do I think its safe to say game over on a heavy snowfall.
  2. Rd9108
    Indeed. Once the WTOD shows up its game over.
  3. Rd9108
    The NAM looks weird before it had the low going to the coast now its showing up ramming up into our area and dry slotting us. Pretty big change.
  4. Rd9108
    Euro holding the line
  5. Rd9108
    I called the Youngstown special thats my call but I will say let's settle down when it comes to 18z models. If 0z looks as bad or worse than yes the trend isn't our friend.
  6. Rd9108
    I can imagine our area is probably a nightmare to forecast for the NWS.
  7. Rd9108
    So close to that 8-12. Gonna be close.
  8. Rd9108
    Nice. Hopefully we max out and get a foot.
  9. Rd9108
    I'm curious to see what the SREF plumes are gonna start showing. Its getting close to their useful range.
  10. Rd9108
  11. Rd9108
    Looks like euro ticked south east from 0z. Good trends so far today. Need another few for some breathing room. Looking good for atleast a high end advisory event.
  12. Rd9108
    This. Hopefully its just the models overcorrecting NW and this ticks back southeast to give us some breathing room.
  13. Rd9108
    I'm tired and can't go to sleep until the truck is back from the fire but it looks like the Euro did improve from the 12z. We still flip on the euro but not as fast. Baby steps I guess.
  14. Rd9108
    We are definitely walking a tight rope with this whole set up. We need the euro to tick back east so we can have some breathing room.
  15. Rd9108
    Good start to the 0z suite
  16. Rd9108
    Idk something in my gut tells me this is the type of storm that jackpots Youngstown. We haven't seen one of those this season yet. We still maybe get a few sloppy inches but the euro isn't backing down.
  17. Rd9108
    Start time tomorrow right?
  18. Rd9108
  19. Rd9108
    The NAM HP strength is like 7mb difference from the GFS. Idk how true that is gonna be.
  20. Rd9108
    Not bad not great. Still time.
  21. Rd9108
    Long range NAM looks promising at the end of its run. Fwiw of course
  22. Rd9108
    Looking at the Euro seems like it took a huge step back. 6z GFS looks about the same.
  23. Rd9108
    Gfs has been pretty steady with this storm the past couple runs. Still like 16 more model suites to go.
  24. Rd9108
    Eh it starts Monday so more like 3-4 days. Regardless we know it's gonna change.
  25. Rd9108
    I believe that has to do with the idea that the 6z and 18z does not get any new info fed into the operation models. I know that was the case years ago I'm not sure its the same now.
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