Rd9108

Don't look at the 18z euro yikes its a complete miss. Basically maybe an inch or two of snow.

A storm like 1950 probably would be a headache to predict and forecast.

Yep basically no snow even for the first overrunning. Do I believe it? No. If the 18z euro and 0z nam bump back southeast then ill feel better about the 4-6 call.

Granted its almost game time. If the 0z makes a similar shift then its game on.

NAM came east like 20 miles. Baby steps.

Also euro still looks like a 3-6 type thump for Thursday.

25-50 miles could be the difference. Let's see what happens.

Euro does the same thing. This might end up being our bigger snow threat than tomorrow.

Call me a Debby downer but give me plain rain over what some of these models are showing with the sleet and freezing rain.

There's always nowcasting surprises. Maybe we still get lucky with the main course. You never know. Euro does look better with the Thursday deal. Gotta keep an eye on that too

Yeah im not at work but I saw a snap chat of our alert board and it was accidents all over. 279, 65, 28 etc... Glad I'm not at work today.

Weird. Between all of the emergency calls and reports from the hospital of an increase of accidents this morning. You think they would have.

We are probably going to get more snow from the Thursday deal at this point. Off topic but in hearing there is a ton of accidents all over the city. Don't drive if you don't have to.

Pretty crazy just like 10 days ago we were talking about possible record breaking cold and now we sweating rain for the same time period.

Also Thursday trended better on the euro.

Euro usually follows.

I'll stop now.

But I wanted 12 for Thursday. Toss.

My complaining isn't serious. I'm trolling. This winter has been a textbook success. We had a white Christmas and multiple moderate storms. Can't complain about that.

We need your negativity. It helped in December.

This too. Is what we are seeing a trend or is it the models wobbling back and forth? I think tomorrow's 12z models will be the do or die time.

Looks better than the 18z para atleast.

Lmao. Oh well I'm ready for golf weather anyway. Less to shovel too. I hope this totally busts and we get zero snow.

Seems the NAM does well when it deals with convection. 2016 every model except the NAM had that storm further east. The NAM ended up being correct with the storm hugging the coast a lot more. I believe I don't remember the year a big blizzard was supposed to hit NYC. The NAM had a run where it said no way and the storm whiffed big time. People were pissed that they shut down the city but we are talking about 50 miles being the difference between 2 ft and 4 inches. There's a reason why Mets don't really use the NAM as much as the Euro and GFS.

100%. Usually its way too far NW and we get suckered in to thinking we are going to get crushed by a coastal. Doesn't mean its not right this time.