Rd9108
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Everything posted by Rd9108
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Well just watched the latest Bernie video and he fully believes the models are most likely too far west and will move east somewhat. As of now he has us in his thinking for heavy snow. Hopefully we see some improvements starting at the latest tomorrow. -
Ehh this one is over. It's more so 3 days away for the actual storm to form. Honestly I said I'd be fine with a few inches and I stick to it. I just hate seeing massive cutters.
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Idt I can remember a major storm that was modeled a cutter that actually trended south east. It seems to never happen. Still some time for some changes but man this pattern just won't be denied.
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And there it is the notorious cutter. Once a cutter shows up it never goes away.
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I do find it hilarious reading the other forums and them obsessing over every little detail. Meanwhile I just want a little but of snow. Hopefully the 0z runs are good I gotta get some sleep.
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Still a long way out. We are all waiting for our next 20+ storm but in the mean time a few inches before Christmas would do.
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Gfs is about to show about the best storm we possibly could get here.
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6 days out and people are throwing in the towel. Come on everybody should know better than that. Big changes are gonna happen run to run.
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Meanwhile east coast weenies are losing their minds over the models at 6+ days away.
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This should be fun to track. Honestly seems like the ceiling for this is really huge. Somebodynis gonna get a huge storm the question is where. Idk how good Bernie is but he's still sticking with his west of 95 call.
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I'm not sure he's doing another Twitter live at 730-8 so I may listen and see his thoughts if I remember. He said the models are doing the windshield wiper effect.
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The ensembles should have some insane solutions.
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Fwiw Bernie isn't sold on this being a coastal. He actually thinks it has a better chance of being a borderline cutter which looking at the guidance sounds insane. However he is the expert, that gfs solution is crazy though.
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Yep honestly give me like 3 or 4 and some snow falling on Christmas and I'd call it a win. Don't need a HECS
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Unfortunately gefs is south east of the GFS. Still a lot of time but this just feels like an I95 storm.
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Need it to go negative sooner and close off. Still 200 hours out but I still hold firmly that my prediction is this is a coastal.
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Let's be honest, this will most likely be a coastal storm. However, if we can score a few inches before Christmas I'd say it's a win.
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Gfs and cmc both show some snow with the northern stream. Both phase too late for us but overall the 500 looks a lot better.
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Late phase on the gfs but the northern energy drops a few inches and then the temperatures plummet to single digits on Christmas day.
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Euro finally joins the party and has a late phase bomb. Something to track.
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Maybe too early to say but it's looking like the chances of snow on the ground for the 25th are looking better and better.
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Hasn't happened since 93. This won't verify lol.
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NAM is still showing a sleet situation I don't believe it for one second. I guess something to monitor.
