Rd9108
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Everything posted by Rd9108
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Looks like the NWS thinks the rain changes to snow between 4-6 AM. Unfortunately I'm working tonight so my drive in the morning might be horrendous. -
Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Rd9108 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The public is gonna talk shit about meteorologists no matter what. They don't understand how difficult forecasting based on their knowledge and not just looking at models really is. For instance my SIL texted me asking me if we are getting a huge storm because everybody at her work is talking about it. Meanwhile we might get an inch but driving when the front comes through is gonna be a nightmare regardless. -
Nws has us about 1-2. Hey maybe we get 3 and everybody is happy!
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This shouldnbe fun to watch roll through and hopefully it overperforms on snow and everybody is happy. If not oh well there will be plenty more.
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If we get more than an inch I promise I'll be nice to KPitt this year.
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Gfs smoking crack again Looks like the low went from west Ohio to Central PA. Idk if that's gonna happen
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Unfortunately bare ground looks highly likely. NAM and HRRR are dry Idk if I would even want to live in Buffalo with that much snow.
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I'm no expert but it would appear so.
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Very interesting how the gfs has totally changed the low pressure track from 12z-18z could be just model noise but weird. 12z 18z Maybe something to watch once the storm develops.
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Let's not get down already. Hopefully we get an inch or two. Seems like a lot of grinchy weenies in our sub forum.
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Maybe it back builds somehow lol. That's usually how we overperform.
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I'd take this and run
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Ehh going to bed now since I gotta be up at 2 but my guess is 1-2 with one more likely. Who knows once the front comes through if we get any Lake effect or a sneaky wave but the storm itself looks like it gets going too late which cuts back the backend snow. Unless this changes I don't see us getting anything more than maybe a coating-inch.
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I'd take this although probably a little over done Realistically do we want this to trend to be stronger or what's our best case here lol.
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Straddling the edge as usual
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Ehhh this kind of just looks like a glorified arctic front now. Idk if I'd expect much from this. Sounds like an inch or two is a safe bet but what a total bust overall not just for us but the Midwest.
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It won't let me post it but the real story will be the winds. Euro is showing our area with up to 60 mph gusts.
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Euro weaker and progressive too, honestly the stronger storm might of helped us but this thing is falling apart for a lot of people. Doesn't mean we can't score 1-3 still.
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Most likely. I think most would be happy with 3 or 4 inches. Idk if we can achieve that but it's atleast possible. Definitely will be watching the mix line on this one.
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About the same honestly. A little lower on the kuchera snowfall but I wouldn't expect more than like a clipper snowfall anyway.
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Weenies are losing their minds lol.
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Looks like this crazy storm broke the gfs.
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Yeah I'm torn on this. Obviously we aren't gonna get a strong apps runner with this.
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Travel Friday might be a nightmare if this happens but I'm all for it.
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Big 12z runs. If gfs improves on that coastal look there could be some surprises for some east coast folks. I'd be happy with like 2-4. Enough for a White Christmas and should help lower Temps a bit.
