The flow is just too progressive every time we see a possible big storm. We need to see this phase sooner but right now if I'm the coast I would like where I sit. DC will probably get it's 3rd 6+ storm in the past 2 months.
Ehh I'm less optimistic about seeing any notable snow anytime soon. The weekend system is a mess and then the next big storm next week will most likely be a near miss with the i95 cashing in. Alot can change but the seasonal trend is for everything to be south and east of us.
I mean anything is possible. We've seen nowcasting busts plenty of times. We've seen the fgen band materialize 200 miles north of the main storm. I don't rule anything out.
Everything is fringe city now. Miss to the north, slider tomorrow, and then the next one cuts. Just unfortunate string of luck. Pattern still looks like it has promise coming up.
The MJO is going back into 8 it looks like so the chances of seeing snow again are definitely high. Obviously it's not guaranteed but any sign of warm weather is gonna have to be put on hold after this coming week.
Looks like there will be a brief warmup followed by us going into favorable phases again. So I fully expect winter to return. If you are looking for the next snow opportunity then next weekend is the next possible chance. Depending on how much the cold presses will determine if we get anything. After that is the warmup followed by phase 8 of the MJO.