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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Last frame of CMC shows a decent hit and 6z Euro isn't bad either for the big storm.
  2. Roads around the city were a little slippery. Just had to take it easy.
  3. Here's the ensemble low spreads for 12z. West of 0z.
  4. I had it wrong. It's gonna be a coastal storm. Looking at H5 there's just no way it can get far enough west. Still time but it's looking unlikely.
  5. Euro shows how we can possibly score atleast a warning event.
  6. The flow is just too progressive every time we see a possible big storm. We need to see this phase sooner but right now if I'm the coast I would like where I sit. DC will probably get it's 3rd 6+ storm in the past 2 months.
  7. Idk it's hard to get excited about a snow storm whenever the seasonal trend has for everything to be weaker and south east. I guess we shall see.
  8. Ehh I'm less optimistic about seeing any notable snow anytime soon. The weekend system is a mess and then the next big storm next week will most likely be a near miss with the i95 cashing in. Alot can change but the seasonal trend is for everything to be south and east of us.
  9. My eyes are set on the weekend. Even if we would get snow tomorrow it's all gone after that cutter. So now I'm looking at the weekend storm.
  10. I mean anything is possible. We've seen nowcasting busts plenty of times. We've seen the fgen band materialize 200 miles north of the main storm. I don't rule anything out.
  11. Everything is fringe city now. Miss to the north, slider tomorrow, and then the next one cuts. Just unfortunate string of luck. Pattern still looks like it has promise coming up.
  12. The MJO is going back into 8 it looks like so the chances of seeing snow again are definitely high. Obviously it's not guaranteed but any sign of warm weather is gonna have to be put on hold after this coming week.
  13. Looks like the gfs. Everything has trended south this year.
  14. All the potential possible but im not sold on the modeled amounts. I guess we shall see but Tuesday already looks like it's trending poorly.
  15. Potential is there and I'll leave it at that. Won't really focus on any threats except that Tuesday wave and that's years away going by model time.
  16. This is pretty crazy for a mean and all it means is there is gonna be plenty of chances.
  17. Looks like there will be a brief warmup followed by us going into favorable phases again. So I fully expect winter to return. If you are looking for the next snow opportunity then next weekend is the next possible chance. Depending on how much the cold presses will determine if we get anything. After that is the warmup followed by phase 8 of the MJO.
  18. You know it's a bad pattern for big snow when you see this
  19. Nam 3k kept showing those squalls so I'm assuming they will materialize. Btw this is a crazy map
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