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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    Euro isn't budging on the crazy precip the RGEM, ICON and NAM are showing. Verbatim it's still probably 1-2 with ratios
  2. Rd9108
    Is the snow gonna be gone by Monday? The lakes are on fire right now.
  3. Rd9108
    Yep let's see what the Euro does.
  4. Rd9108
    Gfs has nothing fwiw. Wish the globals got on board.
  5. Rd9108
    The models seem to be picking up on that finger curling up toward the area. Let's hope this trends better.
  6. Rd9108
    Good to see even if it's overdone
  7. Rd9108
    First wave maybe thebbest bet looks like NAM will be a hit this run.
  8. Rd9108
    Ride the snowiest model
  9. Rd9108
    I'm tired but NAM appears to have like 3-4 inches with some overrunning.
  10. Rd9108
    So far today it definitely has trended worse overall. Now let's see what happens when the cutter moves out and if the models can resolve any minor details.
  11. Rd9108
    Euro is better but still not great. Maybe it's the beginning of a positive trend. It will be interesting to see the ensembles. I wouldn't expect too much from this but some cold 2-4 inches would go a long way.
  12. Rd9108
    I'm not giving up until probably Sunday. We've seen big shifts last minute. Let's clear the cutter and sample the energy.
  13. Rd9108
    Nothing is set in stone yet. This is all gonna depend on the orientation and interaction with the TPV.
  14. Rd9108
    Tired so not gonna disect the GFS but it trended towards the Euro. Is it right we shall see. Cmc is a great hit but the GFS and EPS ensembles don't agree with it. Need to start seeing this trend back NW or the CMC is out to lunch.
  15. Rd9108
    Agreed and this is a cold storm so I doubt 10-1 would be the ratio probably a little higher. Interestingly enough it started to phase with the northern energy close to Maine. Gotta keep an eye out on that.
  16. Rd9108
  17. Rd9108
    18z is slightly better than 12z. Still time for improvements. Central PA gets smoked with a foot.
  18. Rd9108
    But it's happened before is what I'm getting at. We could follow up a low year this year with 60 inches next year. I don't believe any of that nonsense that this is the norm now.
  19. Rd9108
    It's a bad stretch I'm sure we've had some bad stretches in decades prior.
  20. Rd9108
    I'd bet on suppression. That's some cold air coming in with the polar vortex. Eventually it will be our turn we just have to be patient and deal with a shit stretch of winter. I still think we atleast score a warning level storm this year.
  21. Rd9108
    Don't jump off the ledge yet. Still 3/4 days out from anything. Yeah the trends were terrible today with the risk of suppression, which makes sense. I'm sure it's gonna look totally different at 0z and 12z tomorrow.
  22. Rd9108
    Euro says what storm. Holds too much energy back in the SW ( I feel like it does this a lot) and allows the wave to get squashed.
  23. Rd9108
    Wouldn't be mad at this. Honestly we need this to amp up more. I'm still worried about suppression. Still won't know much until probably Sunday. It's only Thursday.
  24. Rd9108
    Sorry all out area just isn't good for synoptic snow storms. I'm honestly just trying to chase the big one from beginning to end.
  25. Rd9108
    2018 also was a two day thing but I'm pretty sure we eclipsed 12 inches. Maybe this is our year... This might a case of 2010 where the Mid-Atlantic needs 40 for us to see 20. It is what it is. 1994 is not a normal low track.
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