Rd9108

Next chance I'd say is the 20th time-frame. Various models are teasing snow possibilities then.

Models seem to be keying on that time frame teasing different runs and solutions. Probably worth keeping an eye on but man 70s next week will be great.

Lmao two things, one Bastardi can't get shit right half of the time. Two that's a ridiculous forecast to even look at. We can't even predict a snowstorm 4 days out let alone what the temps will be like for the next 6 months. Odds are they will most likely be above normal since we seem to be in a cycle of above normal temps.

Never trusted it. This winter the trend has been for an extremely fast flow which has just not allowed any of our arctic fronts to phase with southern energy. Seasonal trend is undefeated this winter.

Everything has deamplified. I don't see how this one doesn't follow the seasonal trend especially whenever most other guidance is against the GFS.

Zero chance it happens guys. Sorry to burst your bubble. The seasonal trend has not been friendly for heavier synoptic storms north of the Dixon.

It's incredibly difficult to find any snow map or info on the storm since it mostly was localized to our area. The big cities did not get hit. Not to mention that 94 seems to be known for the record cold wave.

2018

2018 was the infamous upper level low that just aimed a fire hose right at agh county and we may have gotten more than Philly even though it was a coastal low.

What about 94 did that miss you?

And idt we've had anything bigger than 3 in a few years now. We'll since 2022 apparently Inches Date Centi­metres 2.2 January 22, 2023 5.6 8.0 March 12, 2022 20.3 4.5 January 31, 2021 11.4 9.3 December 16, 2020 23.6 4.2 February 20, 2019 10.7 8.7 March 21, 2018 22.1 3.2 March 10, 2017 + 8.1 4.7 January 12, 2016 11.9 4.3 January 26, 2015 10.9 5.2 January 25, 2014 13.2 5.0 March 06, 2013 12.7 5.2 February 11, 2012 13.2 7.9 February 21, 2011 20.1 11.4 February 05, 2010 29.0

This will verify 100%. We all know its true.

I agree but lets just play devils advocate. Some of the solutions with stronger phased lows threw snow back our way. We've seen how we can score in weird set ups and even if the east coast got 12-24 and we only got 3-6/4-8 I'd call that a win. Anyway I'm hoping for a repeat of this in march.

Congrats Virginia!!

Us weenies have a screw loose upstairs that's for sure.

Don't worry guys I'm sure there NAM will give you false hope. Story of this winter atleast north west of you guys.

Should be able to get another inch atleast.

The seasonal trend has been for a fast Pacific flow and for bigger storms to get shunted south and east whenever the TPV is involved. There's just no way to slow down the energy crashing into the Pacific North West which is knocking down the ridge. I still think we atleast get a storm bigger than 3 inches this season but it won't be this next one.

MAG mentioned something like this to possibly happen for PA.

Lmao he throws random predictions like this coming pattern will rival so and so. He's never right it seems.

Still time for change but honestly the seasonal trend has been for weaker and south so not surprising. Any other winter and we would be chomping at the bit because the NW trend is always there.

Nope less amped.

Hug the snowiest model. UK has a 970 low off the coast of NYC. GFS trended better but the CMC is less amped now. Still have no idea what impact this will have on us. I'm more intrigued on if we get an earlier changeover tomorrow and get more snow.

It is. Point and click is like 1-2 tomorrow.