CNY-LES FREAK

This thing is on the move now @990mb with RAIN to its NW, lol, would only happen to us, lol!

bump, congrats KBUF

yeah, not that cold, lol!

Surface looks great, its the other levels that have me concerned!

not sure

I hate WNW flow events, despise them!

It would also be nice if there was an incoming HP which wasn't such weak sauce at 1024, lol! If that was a 1040 or better we'd have a totally different situation on our hands but we have nothing but LP's all over the place. Need HP's to supply Cold Air, remember Air flows from HP towards LP and if there are none, what do we expect, lol! Look at the Surface, all LP's no HP's except the baby I talked about!

Winds at H850 are now out of the NNE in KBUF but theres still lots going on! Very complex situation unfolding.

998mb over the Delmarva and now shes gonna start to rapidly intensify but how fast is the question!

Super strong convergence zone just to the West of KBUF that will hopefully become a nice trowal of S+ moving East at a snails pace later on this afternoon! I seriously think KBUF sees some nice snows out of this, KROC, not as certain and KSYR much much later changeover, and by that time energy is pulling away, lol!

H700 I hope this true dry-slot stays over us all day, lol cause I think its gonna close off right over head, as is the 850 as well, cause at one pt during this event, it'll be snowing hard in KROC while its raining just as hard in KSYR, lol!

Ill take it, bro you pretty much better get used to it, cause that's how it happens here, every year! Yeah, sometimes we'll get our 15-20"er's here and there but mostly from LE that takes 2 days to get there too, lol! Unless your in a true snowbelt, like you were a couple yrs ago, Its quite rare around here to see sick rates either plus we're 400ft asl, lol, which is basically the surface, and not 1200' which would be sick if we had some damn elevation! That happens quite often up at the Top of Onondaga Hill up near OCC, where in some spots there's a decent pack and get to the Turnpike and the snow is in patches, at best! Then we're also in a super transition zone where as soon as the band hits the South Shore, it falls off and breaks apart even with a WNW flow which is best for the area you now live in. I'm 7-9 miles to ur NE and our weather are worlds apart!

Theres going to be a lot of rain and a lot of disappointed ppl on this board, I can see it now cause theres lots of warm air being drawn up from the S&E. The -4C and -6C isotherms are North of Lake Huron and are still moving North into SE Canada, just nuts!! The one place that I can see getting perhaps a full fledged snowstorm is KBUF as well as our Brethren in Toronto so good luck to them. CNY is absolutely toast, lol, and we're sitting at 34F but that's gonna change later on this evening as temps start to head the other direction, in a hurry too, in Mid December. What an absolute kick in the chestnuts, No? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Rain with a track like that is just laughable, seriously though! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Cause its gonna rain, lol, and whoever is praying that somehow the cold air, we so desperately need, will win out over the warmth that's being forecasted because that's not gonna happen cause there is no mechanism to tap it, simple as that! That's not gonna change either in 2 days so..... Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Yeah, but it's still gonna fall in liquid form and not frozen. There is no cold air on this side of the pole thanks to our wonderful indices. We had a -NAO for the whole Summer practically and now it heads back to positive, lol until further notice, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

You'll see, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It all has to do with that H850 LP from the Northern Stream energy and its enormous, lol, but things can change, especially for us! Unfortunately everyone to our South and East is pretty much toast Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

We got a passing snow shower Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I thought they fixed that old ass Doppler site. I remember that one year where it went out every other day. They just did maintenance on it too. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Well I called this one perfectly, lol, I called for a dusting and that's exactly what happened, lol, and I cant see how we get another flake from this event. This isn't an event for us but for many others, it surely is! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Not one flake and I doubt we see one, lol! I absolutely despise BN Novembers and next yr I hope its balmy right through Thanksgiving, then bam, an Arctic Plunge accompanied by Squalls then true LE kicks and lasts for 3-4 days straight. Their happening less and less as each yr passes, wtf! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

That's my man right there and whoever said the HRRR is a horrible model for LE [emoji1787][emoji1787], it pegged that Erie band and as well as the Ontario one! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

That's gotta be one of the widest bands I've ever seen that's producing heavy snows throughout the band, just incredible! Reminds me of those Lake Ontario bands that no longer form for some strange reason. Maybe its Climate Change, RLMAO! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

A dusting at best cause I don't see any indication Upstream that we'll see a WNW flow perhaps for this entire event, lol, so I'm wondering where KBUF's getting those #'s from??? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk