CNY-LES FREAK

Just ugly!

Indeed there is as that's all I was looking at yesterday as I said, we're toast, lol, but today I'm a bit more optimistic! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

This yr may be the first yr, in a long time, that both the oneida and seneca rivers are void of any ice, on Jan 24th! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Can't even get an idea from the soundings cause they are no use at all, lol! They all seem confused as each 3hr period is some other kind of frozen precip output which tells me the upper lvls are all over the place and no one model is better or worse than each other. The coldest by far is the Nam and the warmest is the GFS. I can't believe the models had a better handle on this system 5 day ago than they do now, lol!

Um, their talking like we have a warm ground to overcome, lol. Where I am is completely snow covered so if it snows, its gonna accumulate, and if it rains the snow will most likely absorb most of what does fall as rain, so we'll see!

This is one of those events where lots of surprises can happen and I mean more snowy ones! It also has huge bust potential everywhere so we'll see what happens as we get closer to the event!

Is this for Sat? RLMAO, Can anyone say GFS to a T

Just hilarious is all I have to say, lol!

This yr is coming real close to 2011-12 which was one of the worst Winters ever, especially for up here so they happen but they are few and far between, thank God! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

SREF's mostly rain with these surface temps.

The 12Z GGEM just keeps the H500 spinning about the Northeast for days and days, lol, I mean, its about as far from the other guidance as it could be. The guidance looked better for 6-7 days out, at least continuity wise, and now there just , weird!

And that's without Bastardi, lol! I still think Henry's there though as well as Bernie Raino, man what a character he is, lol!

I call bullshit on the 12Z suite as it must of ingested something awful, lol!

If there was any sort of cold air around to tap into, we'd all be rejoicing because the track of all the lp's at any lvl, are just seriously perfect for S+ across our area but not this yr, so it seems, lol! Perhaps the chance still lies in this to be a bigger deal, but we're lacking the most essential ingredient and thats the Cold F'in Air, and its nowhere to be found, and in mid-late January, that's just downright SAD! Well, I'm gonna be the optimistic one and say that if what I see on this GFS is anywhere near corrrect with the track, as well as its upper lvl features, then Its hard for me to see how we don't flip to snow or even begin as snow, and stay that way throughout, but thats probably a stretch from this juncture. We'll see what happens because from these eyes, not much has changed from yesterdays guidance, perhaps it went a tick or 2 NW but no major changes, that I can see and all of a sudden we're all rain, with just the wraparound being frozen??? IDK, maybe thats how she plays out, as thats the way I think this past event should of played out with a H700 dropping down from the Mid-West and we still end up all snow, I'm talking CNY Eastward but with what I'm seeing, this should smack us all with a decent plowable snowfall but time will tell.

Verbatim you guys in WNY with that pattern would most likely get buried!

Yeah, thats a beaut of a H500! It would really lock in for a bit if the -Nao hooked up over the top with a -EPO, WOW, with a most likely -AO as well. We can hope and dream!

00Z Nam is warm at the beginning but it only goes out to 7AM Saturday. I'd imagine lots more snow should fall from Sat-Mon but its the Nam!

I think I'll agree with you, lol!

I'll bet anyone on this sub forum right now, and I dont even know the numbers or where we stand, that we kick the ever loving shite out if both KROC and KBUF and I'll throw KBGM in there 2, there, now let's do this, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It wasn't a meltdown, Wow, I just said what was true, lol, and it was nothing against anyone on here but it seems as though everytime I say something against or God forbid, KROC, You-Dave, I will say Tim never does, lol, but just have the need to put ur 2 cents into what I'm sayin for some reason, like I'm saying it just to piss you KROC guys off, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Clustered 4-5 days out like that is pretty remarkable THB and I net as we get closer, they get further apart, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Reign what, the NE snowball contest, what a joke and where are you even getting this info from, lol? The Capital of snowfall across the NE is Syracuse Point Blank/Capita and IDC if KALB, KROC or KBGM wins once in a decade each, lol! You've been here for 2 yrs bro (I'm not being mean either), ppl like Max and I been have been here for 15-20 yrs and it's just FALSE! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Looks like there are still many many different scenarios that could play out since we're still 4 days away, but it doesn't look bad, lots of possibilities! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Seems like all of our snow events are starting to become elevation dependent, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Somethings forming on a NW flow but who knows.