CNY-LES FREAK

4-7" for our area with Advisory seems way way overdone then another 3-6" with the watch ober the TUG which seems much more realistic but well see > suppose Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Not likely, but you've already saw snow now its our turn Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

935mb, SLP, RLMAO Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

For once, I agree with their forecast! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I just wanna see some flakes in the air and ill be happy Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Yeah too bad those maps are favoring the hills of Madison and Onondaga counties which is quite normal this time of yr. I'm still going with a slushy 1" at best in most locals without any elevation but I hope I'm dead wrong Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

They always default to the Tug Hill in almost ever event so its no surprise they would do it with this one. The Tug is usually a lock for every event because it can snow with almost every wind direction except of course with a NEasterly and a Southerly wind but a SW- West- NW - or North are all a go for them sonits pretty safe for them yo always mention the TUG Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Definitely a decent sounding fo sho so lets see what changes abound from now till then, lol!

Yeah, I'll remain skeptical with this next set-up but it looks like the NWS is all go on our first decent event of the season, wow! I still don't know where these temps their talking about are coming from cause I dont see it on any of the models, H850's get to a mere -6C perhaps we flirt with -9C for a few hrs but then we quickly warm, idk I guess we wait and see....

I dont think we're anywhere near cold enough for serious accumulations anyway unless Sun-mondays event happens primarily during the evening and throughout the night as temps dont get much lower than the lower 30's and thats at night as well so we'll see I suppose.... Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Not good Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

RLMAO, all rain till the last few frames. I just wanna see some flakes as its still quite early here for any appreciable accumulations but I'll definitely take it, but I doubt we see anything before Thanksgiving. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I know everyone thinks this event is a done deal up here but the merging of 2 slp's and with one being the remnants of a Tropical System. Its a complicated scenario one in which may have lots of tricks up its sleeve so I wouldn't rule out anything at this point, so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

The thicknesses/heights also get down to 516 and that is super low for this time of year! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Looks like a WNW-NW flow as well which is quite anomalous for this time of yr, as its usually WSW or a SW flow until the storm track settles further to the South later into the season but its 2020 so anything can and will happen, [emoji38] [emoji1787]! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Suffice to say most, if not all, sees their first flakes of the season before the second week of November! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Super elevation dependent Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

For who? [emoji38] Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It can definitely happen but most, if not all, the You Tube long range predictions are quite funny for this yr, lol, as I get a kick out of listening to them. Their all chock full of Cold/Snow from beginning to end with the Northeast getting the brunt of this yrs Polar Vortex RLMAO! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Thats Wolfe, I dont post them stupid maps cause they are consistently wrong, but fun to look at! I'm sure their around some where on here. In fact, one was posted on the last page, [emoji38] Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

GFS is up to its tricks already this early in the season, lol. We're already 4 days out and both the EURO and UKMET have it so I'd stick with them 2 and wait till Wednesday to see what the thermals are gonna look like. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Its gonna be a very cold rain for most of us on this forum from Thursday into Thursday night and then we may see some dynamics come into play depending upon how strong the SLP gets. Perhaps we'll see a changeover to plain snow early morning Friday beforeit quickly goes back to rain. Its a strung out mess before it gets even close to us then starts to get its act together once it redevelops off the coast and heads for the benchmark so I know this weenie isn't getting his hopes up. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

And just because it shows out there, doesn't mean Jack for us, sorry..... Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Everyone forgets about elevation out in the Plains, lol. Ppl think the plains are flat, which they are, but still much higher in elevation than anywhere around here. As you drive from Nebraska into CO, or Wyoming you don't realize ur at about 3500' in elevation and as you go further West it just gets higher and higher. It may be flat in Eastern CO but their at about 4000' in elevation otherwise they'd get very little snow in October and November. Amarillo TX is at 3650' thats why they can snow and it takes much longer for us to get out first flakes. Even Western Nebraska is close to 3000' and the tugs highest hill I think is 2800' but I may be wrong so yeah, they'll snow before US pretty much every yr. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I still think its too warm for any appreciable snows but that can change and probably will! The stronger the system is the better the chances are for heavier snow [emoji300] as a stronger SLP will bring down the cold air over Ontario province. It's plenty cold enough for snow at night to accumulate but during the day would be tough. Off to a real early start its looking like [emoji106]! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk