CNY-LES FREAK

Who says we can't see snow with a -PNA, lol? Looks like the -AO coupled with a -NAO trumps a Pacific shit show!!

Some serious CSI banding going on in IA. I'm hoping we see something similar but I doubt it as it'll be ripped apart by that SHP to our N but ya never know!

This is exactly why we need a -NAO in Mid-Winter because if there wasn't any blocking, this SLP would be headed for KDET and we'd be seeing mainly liquid so thank God for the -NAO, lol! I was alive back then but really don't remember much about the weather as I was an infant, lol! This paragraph from CPC is interesting! The NAO exhibits considerable interseasonal and interannual variability, and prolonged periods (several months) of both positive and negative phases of the pattern are common. The wintertime NAO also exhibits significant multi-decadal variability (Hurrell 1995, Chelliah and Bell 2005). For example, the negative phase of the NAO dominated the circulation from the mid-1950's through the 1978/79 winter. During this approximately 24-year interval, there were four prominent periods of at least three years each in which the negative phase was dominant and the positive phase was notably absent. In fact, during the entire period the positive phase was observed in the seasonal mean only three times, and it never appeared in two consecutive years.

Good catch Delta as I never really thought of the time period!

Well we can kiss the record low snowfall for KSYR goodbye, RLMAO, never really thought we'd come close but one can only imagine what 1931-32 was like for them to recieve 32" of snow for the season????

Yeah, this is a lock for Ksyr on N/E from there so it just adds to the glacier that we've been forming. I've had solid cover since the first LES band that mainly affected me and CNY, lol, so it's been a while since I've seen any pavement or driveway around the crib!! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I wouldn't be surprised if areas from Syracuse points north and east from there receive some warning amounts not that BGM would hoist any warnings just saying Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

A day away and still some significant spread amongst ensembles, just nuts but it only occurs when were to see snow otherwise it would of been locked had it been a cutter or something that was gonna drop rain or a mix!

That 1040HP in C-CA thats dropping into the lower 48 is enormous as it encompasses most of S-C Canada both east and west, lol!

This is one of those tracks that if your smelling the taint ur close to mixing and your snowing at 2-3"/hr, lol! banding would be intense but of course its the LR GFS which means absolutely nothing at this juncture, lol!

This map is surprisingly quite accurate as it tough to get it that close but it looks spot on where as I have about 13-14" OTG so inching closer to the yellows, lol, and with Monday and Tuesdays event if it materializes we could be in the upper teens low 20's if any enhancement happens after the passage of the second SLP so we'll see. Thank God January is providing cause we would of been screwed otherwise but either way averages are definitely going down for 30yr avg's I would think.

0 vis right now, total whiteout, as its just pouring snow, WOW just incredible stuff!

You sure thats not Hancock Tim, lol??

Thats headed straight for me too

Had a few minutes of light snow but now we're headed back into some light green returns and hopefully some embedded yellows, which is super heavy and the best part is that the band seems to be back building over the lake!

oh boy, lol, this could get interesting as the band isn't in much of a hurry to drop South, as it usually does, so we'll see how things go in the next hr or so!

I'm about to get absolutely destroyed for about an hr or so! So far 3" has fallen here with the last batch of squalls, and this next one may be even more intense so I'm looking at close to 6-8" when its all said and done. I'd say not bad for a couple Squalls

925mb is closer to steering height but it definitely varies! Clearly a WNW flow aloft just off the deck!

Agreed, just starting to take shape nicely!

Its easily snowing 2-3"/hr right now its nuts!

NWS BUF try so hard don't they, lol!

It's an absolute different world down here in the city of Syracuse I will tell you that much. When I left the house, it was 33 and lightly snowing and the closer I got to the city, the skis opened up and the sun's practically showing. It's 38 down here with just wet roads while roads near me are snow covered. That's a distance of approx 20 miles so.... Is it January cause I forgot??? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

And yours too my friend Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Well at least we all know the para GFS was dead wrong Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk