CNY-LES FREAK

Why, cause it gives you the most snow, lol

We're toast bro so if I were you I seriously wouldn't expect more than a few fluffy inches. We don't downslope off the Tug where I live so thats not my concern. My concern is the precip field doesn't quite get this far North but with the last several events the SLP came much further NW than was first forecasted but it doesn't mean It'll happen this time around, which it probably won't, thats why I'm not getting my hopes up for this one!

The RGEM has No.Onondaga county and most of Oswego county downsloping into my area and that just doesn't happen so I call BS on the RGEM, lol!

You can literally find a model that suits the weenie in all of us, lol!

Agreed! I remember when there was just 2 models that they ran twice a day and that was it. Now we have like 12 between the globals and the meso's and its starting to get confusing if ya ask me, lol!

Last event went 100 miles further North, than first anticipated, now watch this one stay just to our South, lol!

Enhancement is a lock ESE of the LAKE with any Coastal. Globals have a very hard time picking up on it but perhaps as we mover closer, the meso's will see something of note. I haven't checked the Temps but they have to be close to -12-15C to even get a response this time of yr as the Lake temp continues to drop.

GFS stinks period!

Yeah Ive already said this several times too so we'll see!

Para GFS, close but no cigar, lol!

GFS' 06Z took whatever snow that it gave at 00Z, lol! Look at what happened with the last system???? How quickly we forgewt, lol, as that system wasn't to go anywhere near Ottawa or Montreal for that matter and they both scored nicely so....... let the NW trend begin from here, LOL! Man doesn't this event resemble the one that dropped 41" in BGM?? This one seems alot more difficult for the models/guidance to decipher because that event the models locked on, and never looked back but theres still 3 solid days left so alot can still change, and most likely will, but Id expect some type of convergence of most guidance during next couple days!

Divide those #'s by 4 and it may be a bit closer to the actual outcome,

thing of beauty for sure!

Its looking like we're done for a while at least, and we're left with COLD , COLD and more COLD, not weather that I like too much!

BUST!!, I said it two nights ago that this event, if ya wanna call it that, won't be more than a nuisance and thats exactly what it turned out to be, unfortunately! Its just not a conducive set-up for LES. Shear, strong winds, oscillating bands and dry air is a recipe for NADA. Now next weeks debacle has gotten squashed, so its not looking to good for those horrific snow maps to even come close to verifying

Northern Onondaga southern Oswego county is in a wicked transition zone for this whole event so I wouldn't expect anything up here, what a shame Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Nah, I think they'll drop as the DP's should be quite low but we'll see! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I could of told u that the GFS would eventually go the other way then it'll come back to it's original idea like it always does. Actually I'm happy the GFS is almost a whiff cause if we were in the JP, it usually doesn't bode well! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

This is styrofoam type stuff that's falling with full Sun no less, lol Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

That's absolutely NUTS fo sho Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Dude, I can smell the snow that's how close it is to me right now, lol, so annoying cause when the winds go more NW, that's gonna head North & East so I hope you cash in Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

It's snowing at least an inch an hour right now with the full moon out then it's wild looking Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

This is my second favorite flow besides a West Northwest which is a North Northwest as the wind converges right there in Mexico Bay and comes right down 264 and it's snowing heavily right now Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Those negative departures are gonna disappear quickly if this keeps up. I just thought about it and its the 28th already so 3 days left won't do much damage but with some below zero readings incoming we;ll see how much of a hit they take!

i bet you it sprays snow like this for the next 3 days, lol, and it'll add up too but id bet the ratios are quite high right now, probably close to 18"/1 but Im sure you'll give us that info tomorrow, lol, Brian!