CNY-LES FREAK

It's been a minute, where is everyone? Perhaps Discord? I'm in NYC, yuck, lol!! Sent from my Stratus_C5_Elite using Tapatalk

I call fubar on their outlook because it's pretty hard to forecast below normal temps in Alaska. When it's below normal in Alaska, then that translates into a trough along the Eastern seaboard but we shall see. If we get more than 3" I will be impressed but I seriously doubt anything over 4-6" nevermind 7-12", lol. This SLP, if you wanna call it that, is booking along at a super fast clip, so it's pretty much impossible to drop that kind of snowfall with such a progressive pattern, but the one saving grace is that the upper levels are still ideal for a period of Heavy Snow somewhere in and around CNY. This is the 29th anniversary of the Storm of the 20th Century, Storm of 93'. It looked eerily similar leading up to the event then the models shit the bed as usual. CNY, face it, is a shitty area if you want some serious East Coast Events cause the SLP wants the super warm water along the Eastern seaboard, it doesn't want to head inland, lol, as it has tried to do several times this year. Did today's Euro look as bad as the GFS? The GFS just doesn't make much sense, as I think it's wrong in it's depiction of the trough coming and going, within 14hrs! Perhaps it's biased towards lifting out troughs way before their ready. The trough doesn't even go negative tilt anymore either, which was slowing it down just enough to drop some decent snow but that's gone now. This is the last Storm that I'm riding out as I'm headed back downstate where gas prices are approaching $6.75 on the Island of Staten which is absolutely absurd and it's not stopping either. By May June it'll be closer to $8.00, watch. I'm still hoping to get up into much higher elevation but I need to relax and just stack my bank and just keep looking for something special perhaps Vermont, Good luck to all with this event cause tomorrow when we wake we will be either happy campers or extremely [emoji34] cause all's you hear is wet roads but one other saving grace is that this event is hitting us at Night so that will definitely help but don't expect the totals the NWS is throwing out so Ciao everyone and the next time I post I'll be in NYC, Peace to all and it was a great 20yrs downwind of Lake Ontario. Ty Sent from my moto g pure using Tapatalk

Glorified overrunning event will be our biggest event of the Season, lol, I might have to Start following the Severe Season, lol!! Cold 29• S+ Not much blowing or drifting, lack of forcing, dendritic size is super ideal, super deep riming action, moisture is coming right from the Gulf over a Super dome of fresh Arctic Air, spells trouble for tonight's ride home thats for sure! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Whoever gets under that Deformation band will be the winners for sure and look how far NW it goes from the SLP! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Oh, I see, their seeing a wicked dry slot that's why the paltry totals coming out of BGM. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

What is up with BGM?? Are they serious with that stupid looking adv-warning maps? Advisory for Onondaga and Madison and even Oneida? Idk who's forecasting but man, they may be right, I suppose, so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Thanks BW, I wish I could be here, but just too much going on with the sale of the house and moving, so its been pretty hectic, and it's happening, in the middle of Winter, how stupid right? I can thank my ex for that bullshit! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Look at all the little disturbances traversing the trough, very nice looking system, almost too good to be true at this juncture so somethings gotta give, lol!! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Sweet looking CSI banding right there, 2-3"/hr stuff right there with wicked winds out of the NE so KROC can be in for a sweet event! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

I gotta go look at some mid lol guidance. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Biggest one of the season, and that not saying much at all, but I see 5" totals inbound for the synoptic part then 3-5 for residual LE, not a bad event as it looks now but that banding on most guidance can't be overlooked. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Thanks Wolfie, I was posting in the wrong thread, lol! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

It's looking more and more like a phased Miller B as opposed to a Miller A, when she rides up the whole eastern seaboard like 93', but it looks like the SLP gets captured for a partial phase but I'm just going off what I seen on TWC. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

We got any clown maps yet, lol? Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

I think Izzy is gonna be a nice region wide snowfall with some serious totals coming in directly South of Ontario and the to the SE of the Lake as the LE sets up behind the departing LP. I'm gonna stick around for this one cause it has the potential to be a KU, one for the record books! Temps are cold throughout and 3 days before the system starts to affect our region of the NE. I haven't even looked at any models as of yet cause I can't imagine their all in agreement this far out, but I could be wrong. I'm just thinking what can possibly go wrong, lol, and we know, all too well, the answer to that one, lol!! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk