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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. I do recall a comment in the AFD for the last little event we had here saying that LWX was still looking at EPS qpf right up to onset, so they seem to think there's value in Ens even late in the game too.
  2. For me, the hobby is learning. Not figuring out how to will our climo to be like Boston's. That's eh, a losing battle. Nothing you or I or Bob or PSU can do will change anything. That's why I don't get caught up in the "rooting for this feature" or that. It doesn't matter. It never will. I hope I get snow to play in with my kids. From the looks of things, I will. I want to learn more about how we get it and how we don't. That's why I'm here.
  3. If I was told 2 weeks ago that I could lock up a 4-6" storm this weekend even if Philly-NYC got a foot+++, I would have done it and I'd still do it right now. Just saying.
  4. The one that just threw down 8-10" region wide? Somehow I still think they'd run for their milk, bread and tp
  5. Only people who ebb and flow with one 48h NAM run...
  6. I think you should avoid paying too much attention to the HRRR at 48h
  7. Wes just said on the CWG stream that he doesn't believe the GFS thermals - thinks Euro is right. Just to ease concerns.
  8. CWG doing a "radio show"... Is that bad?
  9. If Mitch and Ian show up it's gonna go nuts in here lol
  10. It's from the EasternUSWX days. I believe Randy and DT and perhaps Vortmax used to host them. Reserved only for the really big storms. They often caused storm cancel.
  11. Savor this... This is the 2nd best part. The party. The anticipation. It's almost as good as the Jebwalks
  12. Scotch is happening as soon as I get home... To Bob!
  13. surprised nobody has called for a radio show yet
  14. Whew... that was a close one. For a second I thought the cities might jack. Good thing we're back in steerage where we belong.
  15. This is probably what most people here should do. Set low expectations and adjust up as we get closer. It's what I've done and it's why I don't find myself cliff diving. My bar for BWI has been 4-6" all week. Never bought into 10" from several days away. My bar is still 4-6". I'm happy as long as the south trend doesn't cause this thing to crush RIC
  16. Ukie qpf slug bounced back north so hopefully the south trend has had it's fun and the jack has returned to it's rightful place in Manchester/Hereford
  17. Has anyone else been holding out and only now slowly allowing themselves to start believing this thing might actually happen? My bar is still ridiculously low (3-5" just south of Baltimore) but I'm actually starting to allow myself to get excited. Still keeping my eye out for Lucy, but letting my guard down
  18. It also "sniffed" and held until onset that I would get 3-4" on the one earlier this week. I got .5" of slush so it can swing and miss pretty well too
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