MacChump

probably not appropriate for the main thread but feel like M/D line or more specifically 15-20 miles northeast of most northeastern part of cecil county will end up being the jackpot

8 minutes ago, Ruin said:

things I dont understand 1 people say you cant track storms a week out but the mets all track storms a week out and they hint at something just to hint at it. if its wrong they dont mention it again or if its right they report on it for ratings I get that. What I dont get how models can be so wrong 1-2-3 days out at times like how does a low go from the east coast with a massive push of moisture and cold only then 1 model run go to a apps lake cutter and the storm be all rain in the 50s?  What info was put into that model run to make it go to one extreme to the other I wish we were told such things. 2 how since the model upgrade in 2011-14 have these models gotten worse imo I know other do feel this way. We have feed back errors and or just all out whacky solution.

I remember one storm from 2021 it was said it was going to be pushed to far south due to the cold air then what do you know the cold air vanished. The low moved west of us into western ohio this was said not to happen due to a whacky solution but it happenend. am I complaining sure but Its 2025 and we cant even get a storm 12-24 hours out let alone a week out correct. I dunno how many times a storm is 12 hours away and we just hear its to soon to know we have to wait and see.

 

Also if some one can direct me to a site where it actually shows the accuracy percentage of the models over the years that would be awesome. Like some say the euro is more accurate but how accurate is it 40% 30% etc 

52 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said:

Exactly 

11 hours ago, RedSky said:

Greenskeeper left the country post election

or he is getting ready for a Cabinet appointment

6 minutes ago, skillsweather said:

This will have 1/3rd the surge power as katrina and remember we only remember katrina for what was the levee failure and humanitarian crisis. Same with Helene the storm itself wasn't super bad it was the humanitarian crisis further inland that is the bigger topic. All hurricanes will bring strong winds and surge so there will be that but this isn't a biblical storm that people love to make every storm into this is just a typical hurricane that just happen to be so small and over uncharted waters that gained strength far faster then thought and reached cat 5 and sub 900mb. Also we are able to do way more in depth analyst over mb pressure with the technology we have now vs 50+ years ago.. And this was only going to be a big deal because it was going to hit an area that never gotten a direct hit in 100 years (small period of history btw..) yet its not going to even make a direct landfall there now so its just a normal hurricane with normal evacuate if your near the beach or live in its path. Enough with making this biblical bs.. unless you dont believe in science because earth isn't 100 years old and thats as far as we go back with weather and even then was hit or miss in info.. Earth is over 4 billion years old.. If this hurricane was like 200-300 times bigger and 20-30 times stronger then its biblical.

i gotta be honest after reading this all the way through the bolded really surprised the hell out of me

31 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

Severe tstorm warning here,  getting breezy, lots of thunder and lightning, including to the north of here. 3 times already this week storms have fizzled just to the west of here, and this one is trying to. Note the hole developing, lol. (Just north of the Delaware border).

lol a pretty epic fizzle again here

about 4.5 inches in kamuland…glad I kept the Christmas lights up

2 hours ago, weatherpruf said:

I used to be flounder fishing the Shrewsbury River the last week of Feb in the 80s. Sadly they are nearly extirpated and scientists don't think they will recover, but I caught one in LI Sound last fall while porgy fishing.

probably just a fluke

first step if I’m Lurie is to call Johnson and Siriani into my office this morning and say “raise your hand if you were the one calling all the wide receiver screens this year” and whoever puts their hand up is fired on the spot

34 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

LOL.....That meant to say Ex's grandparents. EX GF's grandparents

lol that makes more sense

2 hours ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I lived in Tinton Falls/ Mon County for 30 years. Born in Long Branch at Mon Medical.  My Ex grandparents live in Whiting. 

People seem way too enthusiastic in the LR thread over next Tuesday's rainstorm. I am just not seeing much of anything other than a brief cool down followed by more cutters.

i know for a certainty i'm going to regret this

but what are ex-grandparents? like an ex-parrot or is it something else?

1 hour ago, Random Chaos said:

New tide forecast out. It's higher than the previous one yet again, by about 2-3".

 

1 hour ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

 

saw spamalot over the holidays, very funny and my daughters loved it (made them watch holy grail first), highly recommend

7 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

I don't think anyone wants (or even thought) to find another team but something is seriously wrong internally/coaching. They can't even tackle for Christ sake...very basic stuff. 

Yeah what a weird post

Mariota  ROFL 

7 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

17-0 Giants. Unbelievable.

24 lol

16 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Currently 12 degrees in downtown silver spring, expecting heavy snow and 6-12" accumulations 

Looks beautiful

https://tourismfernie.com/activities/hiking-trails/silver-springs

this storm irritates the shit out of me

29 degrees

that’s always been my understanding anyway ^

27 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Below and to the north I believe

 

7 minutes ago, Ellinwood said:

I should just remove I-95 eastward off of my map since it never snows there

My over/under IMBY is 1.5" because that's what I got with the surprise snow in December and if this can't beat that then I'll be sad.

3 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

Incorrect. We just experienced the coldest, lowest dew point of the season  and it got here about 20 hours ago and won’t go away quick 

3 hours ago, ers-wxman1 said:

Good luck! You’ll need magic mushrooms to find it! 

3 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

And they have no more truck than any other sincere participant  here. Assessment skills are greater than dependency . 

meteorologists hate this one weird trick!

2 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Haha...yup. Referred to ers-wxman as "douche boy" and "sonny boy."

lol, it was piss boy a week or two ago, quite the arsenal 

1 minute ago, mattie g said:

First time I've seen someone referred to as "douche boy" on here.

Damn...the post got nuked?!

lol, howard again? 

at this point i'd like to keep the streak alive down here in kamuland...1.1 inches would just piss me off...think we are safe though

well...it's probably pretty stiff ^