They are still in the cone all the way down to Punta Gorda - and history says these storms approaching the west coast of FL don’t always respect the models before deciding what to do.
I live in Lakewood Ranch / Bradenton and most of Manatee and Sarasota county had 20+ inches of rain from Debby back in August. There was extensive flooding from that in places that generally do not see issues but that was an exception.