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drstuess

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Everything posted by drstuess

  1. On the topic of forecast accuracy, gfs forecast for the waves today has been as bad/off as I have seen in a while. This is comparing the buoy (line trace) to the latest GFS forecast for now. South swells often are late, so see if it fills in, but horrible so far. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  2. Godspeed our avian friends Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  3. 35 mb drop in 4 HH passes is nuts. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  4. Captain Kirk promoted to Major. That is a pretty cane. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  5. Issac popping a pinhole eye way out in the middle of nowhere. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  6. Radar blowing up in Southern RI. Getting dark out Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  7. Hail here was solid. I did not get outside and grab any pics, but my neighbor sent these over this morning. And this from local fb
  8. Some pretty good hail in Southern RI. Just stuck my hand out the bedroom window and got smacked pretty good Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  9. Portland gauge at 14.37 ft which is above the 1978 record it seems. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  10. Ocean and buoys not nearly as angry as earlier in the week. Wate levels pretty high though. Within half a foot of the "record" for that station, but note there are 3 Preliminary" values in the last 4 weeks above the "record". Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  11. Ocean and surge is angry. From Matunuck Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  12. Block island buoy getting up there this am. Trying to recall if there was another winter stretch like this where we seem to hit > 20 ft every week. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  13. FWIW buoys of OBX running a touch above the GFS wave outputs. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  14. Walked the dog in the rain in Narragansett. Maybe a few pingers, but pretty wet. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  15. Thank you, i really appreciate it. I dont want to put words in your mouth, but applying your comments to the probabilistic maps, you think the NWS 10% high end maps showing And sorry I used "locked in" a bit loosely, I just wanted to understand the likelihood. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  16. Are P-type issues locked in for S coast RI? I am seeing people run with those 10:1 maps, but NWS 10% high end map is still ~1 inch. If so, people probably are in for some disappointment. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  17. Mid next week would be another big wave maker for the southcoast. S fetch down to the bahamas. Beaches are taking a beating. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  18. Pvd hit ~9 ft, or about 5 feet above the predicted high tide. 1938 was 12.67 feet above sea level. Overall looks like maybe #3 overall, and somewhere between once a decade and once a century? Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  19. Maybe McGulps will weigh in, but biggest seas I have seen in RI. Novelty waves breaking way up the bay and Block buoy was 30' all day. Ocean is mean. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  20. Out of curiosity, does this mean it is too high or too low? OP was saying he thought it was too high, but I would interpet negative errors as too low? Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  21. 2018 late october did have a rocking noreaster though. Night of the Ocean Mist Halloween party. Sox won. Building shaking with each wave hitting and water shooting up between the floor boards. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  22. I was being sarcastic regarding post, hence the "average=sum". Adding /s si you don't lump me in with the poster I was quoting. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  23. No, they just take the cumulative value across the stations. Everyone knows average = sum. /s Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  24. Hurricane wind radii out close to 80 miles, which matches Bill. Should be solid wave wise, better than Franklin. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  25. It may be delusion and i have said it a few times in my head already, but last couple frames look like it's improving a bit from my naive view. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
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