North Balti Zen

Perhaps complicated is all we have left to chase anymore? I don't recall the last simple "moisture over-running cold air in place" giving us an easy area-wide 6" - 10" scenario. Maybe Jan. 22 was that for a lot of you, but not us up north of 695. We haven't had a classic "simple" over-running event of note in quite awhile.

On an up note - I hiked 11 miles yesterday through Catoctin forests north of Frederick, I've done long hikes every weekend since Thanksgiving, I'm down 3 stone since late August, and I've started dating again and planning dates when I don't have to worry about snow and cold is much easier. Plus, using less heating oil, so...win?

I genuinely do not know what that means. Harbaugh is an amazing coach in a lot of respects, but I get the frustration with him sometimes too from Ravens fans.

Snow TV. It didn't happen. Such is life.

Winter is canceled again. FOREVER.

As a neutral observer (bengals fan) who has recent experience watching his beloved team playing the Chiefs in big games (Burrow is 3-1 against Mahomes and 1-1 in the AFC championship) I cannot underscore enough that point. I thought the offensive gameplan from Monken/Harbaugh was perplexing (at best). Clearly KC had a plan to contain Lamar in the pocket - their rush lane discipline was excellent and the strength of KC's D is their defensive backfield (and Chris Jones at d-tackle - but he's more effective rushing the QB). So...run the ball? With the best rushing offense in the NFL? I mean...that, right? Instead, the run almost entirely abandoned. I was absolutely confused. Still am.

It didn’t hit parts of our area flush obviously (and 100% did hit other parts of our area flush) , but these kinds of wild upper air patterns are how you end up eventually with a March 1993 type scenario somewhere. If that kind of monster is gonna happen- it will be in response to this kind of pattern (assuming we do indeed get to this kind of pattern….)

Quick readers note- props to a bunch of you in this thread for highlighting for days the insanely interesting upper air patterns as shown on the uber long range modeling and for further saying that at some point some crazy solutions are gonna pop up in the fantasy range. That euro map is exactly what many of you have been saying will start to show up in response to the progged pattern. That indeed is a wild solution. well done in particular @CAPE @Heisy @brooklynwx99 @psuhoffman @stormtracker among others. Just wanted to shout out the excellent discussions you all have had for over a week now at least about the period ahead.

I refer you to the thread title. The chase is for “snow TV maybe”. The expectations were reasonable from the jump in that the likely at best outcome would be wet snow for a time for a part of the area. At best.

Yes, a thread chasing flurries is EXACTLY like March 2001. Good comp.

I don’t know what this means. There’s a chance of something wintery for a part of the forum in around 60 hours. We do threads for discrete winter threats at this range traditionally.

You know what the data shows though, if mt. PSU gets snow tv on the night of Jan. 28 then we all score a HECS mid-month.* *Probably.**** ****Per PSU's secret data-set to get people to root for snow for his backyard specifically.

This thread appears to be tracking snow TV for mt. psu.

There were four calls for it in the other thread. But, hey, thanks for the weenie emoji.

That is the more likely outcome to this thread, yes.

I did it. Started.

Here we go. Or not. This thread doesn't control outcome. Unless it does.

If we actually get enough flakes for legit snow TV status during the heart of the warm hades horror winter lull ("WHHWL") I am gonna go ahead and take that as a good sign for prosperity when thing break back our way starting around Feb. 8...

I left at 7:30 and...too late for that today. Almost a dead stop at the Hereford zone ramp and bumper to bumper whole way down. No accidents, just fog and volume and rain. 85 minutes.

No idea- it was immediately evident upon exiting the house in northern balt county that visibility blew. It got no better at any point on my thunderdome drive downtown.

Heck, given the notes on how awful this immediate pattern is - having had something to even keep an eye on for a few days has been a pleasant surprise.

Nah - we are saying the same thing - I think it's a sign of growth that people have been realistic at range - I think your discussion for days has been on point and appropriately framed (and solution and wxluvr). Plenty of people will still tune into today's 12z b/c it's not a zero chance. I genuinely think your guidance of the long range discussion this year when we have had discernable threats has been really excellent fwiw.

fwiw, I was pretty proud of the board for not biting on it in any respect in terms of anticipation etc. Small victory for people keeping their inner snow child in check...not that we won't keep an eye on the next set of runs of course...

The commute down 83 was a foggy hell. 15 mph on average bumper to bumper for 27 miles. snowpack still on my back hill that doesn’t get as much sun. I’m not a snowpack zealot but will have had snow on ground for 11 days straight assuming today is the last day for it - that’s pretty legit.

Any flakes falling on Monday during the two-week sadness lull up my way would be a bit of a win.