For the record, that is genuinely not the case every time, or even most times - it might be the case with big dog cold storms but still need decent qpf in these kind of situations even up here to get decent accumulations...
Things to work into posts I’ve decided…-
kiddo
bucco
friendo
”stop fantasizing about a SSW, bucco, it ain’t your savior”
”hey kiddo, rates not good enough to overcome midday sun angle”
”ok friendo, this ain’t 1993 and that isn’t a superstorm”
12/7/23: T (maybe a T on 12/6/23 too but I was not home to see it/verify it)
12.11.23: .8"
1/6/24: T (two hours of winter storm watch - yay! - rapidly converted to winter weather advisory - still ok... - then -- a little sleet and snow and a LOT of rain...sigh)
1/14/24 - T
1/15/24 (a little into the early AM on 1/16 too) - 4"
1/19/24 - 3"
2/13/24 - .7" I guess - slushy hard to measure
Season total - 8.5"
Gonna be pretty - probably won’t accumulate much on roads around me in Monkton.
Raised surfaces have a slushy quarter inch. Got to walk the dogs on the ncr trail in the falling snow - that was a win…
I usually mentally toss the HRRRRRRRRR in the trash but, clearly, it is 100% accurate.
I will be taking no questions at this time re: my previous position on the HRRRRRRRRR. Thank you.
Saw a Talking Heads cover band (Psycho Killers) at Union Craft and they were absolute fire. So damn good. If you ever get a chance to see them, grab it. Skilled jam band too. Unreal set and evening.
WTAF - second time in two weeks I have pulled small, very live, very hopeful tick off my person. It is early effin' February. This is a terrible sign for the spring. Not been near cold enough to help even a little with cutting back on insects.
I mean...it is pretty clear that all the other guidance made a major move to the GFS. Obviously them meeting in the middle even now wouldn't be great, but I don't see any reason to think this thing has no chance based on the 12z suite, looks to me like a good argument to be made that the GFS is leading the way.
Right? It's five days away - given where we were 24 hours ago when everyone was dunking on the idea of the event/thread (and, with reason, really) - this is a delightful turn of events - been like 18 hours of being able to hope a little - and given that we are in a fallow tracking period - that's a fookin' great thing.